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Expert briefing
Publication date: 30 April 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The primary surplus (0.6% of GDP) was driven by a 35% real fall in primary spending, which offset a recession-induced 4.5% drop in revenues. Month-on-month inflation has also…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 5 January 2024
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The legislation’s smooth journey through Congress illustrates the pragmatic relationship Noboa has established with the legislature. This, however, will be difficult to maintain…

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Executive summary
Publication date: 4 December 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

BRAZIL: Lula backs away from OPEC+ amid pressures
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 14 November 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Venezuela in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

The outlook for the government is positive. A thaw in relations with the United States and EU, plus sanctions relief, will bring economic benefits and social spending. The slow…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 14 November 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Prospects for Colombia in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

His Historic Pact suffered a major setback in October’s local elections, with opposition figures set to govern some of Colombia’s largest cities (including Bogota) from January 1…

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Expert briefing
Publication date: 31 March 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The government has provided substantial financial assistance to the company, and President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) has said more will be available whenever needed. How…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB278086

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Mexico
LA/C
Topical
economy
industry
politics
debt
foreign investment
gas
government
growth
investment
oil
policy
public sector
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Executive summary
Publication date: 17 February 2023
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

GUYANA: Soaring growth may bring corruption risks

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-ES276124

ISSN: 2633-304X

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Geographic
Guyana
LA/C
Topical
economy
industry
politics
corruption
fiscal
government
growth
infrastructure
oil
policy
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 28 October 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

The government’s prudence should allow it to maintain Mexico’s investment-grade rating, despite lacklustre economic growth and the downgrading of state-owned oil firm Pemex.

Details

DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB273671

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Mexico
LA/C
Topical
economy
industry
politics
debt
exchange rate
fiscal
government
growth
oil
prices
public sector
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 13 December 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Velez and her anti-extractive views are broadly unpopular, but the government is unwilling to yield on its conviction that Colombia must wean itself off hydrocarbons. It will…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB274649

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Colombia
LA/C
Topical
economy
industry
politics
climate
energy
environment
foreign trade
gas
government
growth
mining
oil
opposition
policy
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Expert briefing
Publication date: 19 December 2022
Expert Briefings Powered by Oxford Analytica

Although growth has remained positive this year, it slowed in the second quarter and total output has not recovered from the collapse of economic activity in 2020. Poverty remains…

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DOI: 10.1108/OXAN-DB274771

ISSN: 2633-304X

Keywords

Geographic
Ecuador
LA/C
Topical
economy
politics
social
foreign trade
government
growth
oil
policy
poverty
prices

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Barbuda","url_remove":"facet-sort-date=all-dates&p=1&q=%28content-type%3Aoxan-article+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-executive-summary+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-graphic-analysis%29+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22government%22+AND+keyword-geographic%3A%22LA%2FC%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22growth%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22oil%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22politics%22","url":"facet-sort-date=all-dates&p=1&q=%28content-type%3Aoxan-article+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-executive-summary+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-graphic-analysis%29+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22government%22+AND+keyword-geographic%3A%22LA%2FC%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22growth%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22oil%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22politics%22+AND+keyword-country%3A%22Antigua+and+Barbuda%22"},{"count":"10","title":"Argentina","url_remove":"facet-sort-date=all-dates&p=1&q=%28content-type%3Aoxan-article+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-executive-summary+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-graphic-analysis%29+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22government%22+AND+keyword-geographic%3A%22LA%2FC%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22growth%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22oil%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22politics%22","url":"facet-sort-date=all-dates&p=1&q=%28content-type%3Aoxan-article+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-executive-summary+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-graphic-analysis%29+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22government%22+AND+keyword-geographic%3A%22LA%2FC%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22growth%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22oil%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22politics%22+AND+keyword-country%3A%22Argentina%22"}],"B":[{"count":"1","title":"Bahamas","url_remove":"facet-sort-date=all-dates&p=1&q=%28content-type%3Aoxan-article+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-executive-summary+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-graphic-analysis%29+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22government%22+AND+keyword-geographic%3A%22LA%2FC%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22growth%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22oil%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22politics%22","url":"facet-sort-date=all-dates&p=1&q=%28content-type%3Aoxan-article+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-executive-summary+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-graphic-analysis%29+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22government%22+AND+keyword-geographic%3A%22LA%2FC%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22growth%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22oil%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22politics%22+AND+keyword-country%3A%22Bahamas%22"},{"count":"1","title":"Barbados","url_remove":"facet-sort-date=all-dates&p=1&q=%28content-type%3Aoxan-article+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-executive-summary+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-graphic-analysis%29+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22government%22+AND+keyword-geographic%3A%22LA%2FC%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22growth%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22oil%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22politics%22","url":"facet-sort-date=all-dates&p=1&q=%28content-type%3Aoxan-article+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-executive-summary+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-graphic-analysis%29+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22government%22+AND+keyword-geographic%3A%22LA%2FC%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22growth%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22oil%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22politics%22+AND+keyword-country%3A%22Barbados%22"},{"count":"2","title":"Belize","url_remove":"facet-sort-date=all-dates&p=1&q=%28content-type%3Aoxan-article+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-executive-summary+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-graphic-analysis%29+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22government%22+AND+keyword-geographic%3A%22LA%2FC%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22growth%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22oil%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22politics%22","url":"facet-sort-date=all-dates&p=1&q=%28content-type%3Aoxan-article+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-executive-summary+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-graphic-analysis%29+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22government%22+AND+keyword-geographic%3A%22LA%2FC%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22growth%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22oil%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22politics%22+AND+keyword-country%3A%22Belize%22"},{"count":"6","title":"Bolivia","url_remove":"facet-sort-date=all-dates&p=1&q=%28content-type%3Aoxan-article+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-executive-summary+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-graphic-analysis%29+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22government%22+AND+keyword-geographic%3A%22LA%2FC%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22growth%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22oil%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22politics%22","url":"facet-sort-date=all-dates&p=1&q=%28content-type%3Aoxan-article+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-executive-summary+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-graphic-analysis%29+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22government%22+AND+keyword-geographic%3A%22LA%2FC%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22growth%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22oil%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22politics%22+AND+keyword-country%3A%22Bolivia%22"},{"count":"30","title":"Brazil","url_remove":"facet-sort-date=all-dates&p=1&q=%28content-type%3Aoxan-article+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-executive-summary+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-graphic-analysis%29+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22government%22+AND+keyword-geographic%3A%22LA%2FC%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22growth%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22oil%22+AND+keyword-topical%3A%22politics%22","url":"facet-sort-date=all-dates&p=1&q=%28content-type%3Aoxan-article+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-executive-summary+OR+content-type%3Aoxan-graphic-a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