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Prospects for Turkey in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

Fiscal and monetary stimuli and a policy-induced credit boom have combined with the broad normalisation of social life to contain COVID-19's impact on economic output. However…

London post-Brexit will retain Balkan security role

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BALKANS/UK

The summit is an opportunity for reinvigorating the Berlin Process which has faded somewhat as the European migration crisis, Brexit and reform priorities put EU enlargement on…

Western inputs make Turkey’s arms sector vulnerable

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TURKEY

Ankara’s defence sector has strengthened over the past decade, boosting arms exports, although its military is still the main buyer. However, the sector is dependent on Western…

Chinese investment in eastern EU will test cohesion

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EUROPE/CHINA

Chinese investment in CEE.

Western Balkans will toughen migration controls

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WESTERN BALKANS

Almost 150,000 irregular migrants entered the EU through the Western Balkans in 2022, a 135% increase on 2021. In response, Brussels has stepped up cooperation with regional…

Spanish foreign policy will concern traditional allies

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SPAIN

Spanish foreign policy.

EU ‘protectionism’ risks a global backlash

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EU

EU protectionism.

Repeated vote may give Greek premier four more years

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GREECE

With parliament serving out its full term, a protracted electoral campaign lies ahead. However, Mitsotakis also said the election was a “springboard to final victory”: he expects…

EU-brokered Kosovo-Serbia deal will take time

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KOSOVO/SERBIA

Following tensions in late 2022, Belgrade and Prishtina have moved step-by-step toward a settlement. In late February Kurti and Vucic accepted an EU proposal which may lead to de…

New Greek government will have only brief 'honeymoon'

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GREECE

The conservative New Democracy (ND) party won an absolute majority in the July 7 elections, potentially ending a decade of political turbulence which featured six elections and…