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New Zealand TPP approval is likely despite opposition

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NEW ZEALAND

New Zealand's main political parties are divided on TPP ratification, which marks the first such division on a trade agreement in 40 years. The main opposition Labour party has…

US president’s UK visit is likely to be ‘placeholder’

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US/UK

This comes as US foreign policy, especially towards China and Iran, is forcing some political tightrope-walking for US partners. It also comes as UK Prime Minister Theresa May…

Prospects for the EU in 2020

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PROSPECTS 2020

Prospects for the EU in 2020.

Efforts to stablise US-China relations will be limited

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US/CHINA

Relations between the United States and China are at a critical juncture. The Biden administration remains under domestic pressure to take a tough line with Beijing but the…

Economic goals drive Indian-Israeli-Emirati-US ‘quad’

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INDIA/ISRAEL/UAE/US

The grouping has been widely described as a new ‘quad’. This label is inspired by the Quad, a long-standing group comprising India, the United States, Australia and Japan.

Philippine leader will put off tackling thorny issues

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PHILIPPINES

The address laid out the new administration’s policy objectives for the coming year and Marcos’s broad goals for his six-year term. It gave little indication of the president’s…

Beijing-Washington ties will be competition-based

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CHINA/UNITED STATES

Despite some positive short-term outcomes, the two sides’ read-outs reflect the structural nature of their competition and the limits that this places on cooperation.

Japan is likely to win Australian submarine tender

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AUSTRALIA

The Soryu class is currently under consideration by Canberra as a replacement to the RAN's aging fleet of Collins-class submarines, in light of intensifying security challenges in…

China-US trade talks will likely see minimal changes

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CHINA/US

Washington suspects Meng of connection with efforts to violate US sanctions on Iran, something her side denies. Despite the long lead-time (with an August 22 warrant issued) and…

India-UK free trade deal is likely around 2019

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INDIA/UK

Outlook for a possible free trade deal between India and the United Kingdom post-Brexit.