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Domestic crises will challenge US-Nigeria relations

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NIGERIA/US

Distracted by a spiralling pandemic and crisis in its political institutions, the incoming US government will struggle to establish new initiatives both in Nigeria and across West…

Biden’s team will try to reset engagement with Africa

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AFRICA/US

This may see a redefining of US-Africa policy compared to the Trump administration’s focus on competition with China, including: resolving questions surrounding the role for US…

Poland’s policy on farm protests may shift after polls

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POLAND

The latest protests coincide with the Donald Tusk government’s first 100 days and scrutiny of his performance as prime minister. Most polls indicate continuing support for the…

Gulf states: Western investment drive will accelerate

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GULF STATES

This trend was sustained in 2023 with USD23bn worth of investments in US markets alone. However, Gulf investments are subject increasingly to greater Western scrutiny because of…

Bulgaria’s coming elections will not produce stability

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BULGARIA

Radev’s dominance in Bulgarian politics is secure at least until the end of April. Galab Donev, a close confidant of his, is slated for reappointment as interim prime minister.

Serbs will vote in 2022 with few independent media

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SERBIA

The government's tightening grip on the media is part of efforts by the ruling elite to prepare for elections in spring or summer 2022. Recent media market entrant Euronews is…

US TPP implementation faces major hurdles in Congress

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UNITED STATES

The Obama administration faces an uphill fight in Congress to secure enough votes for TPP ratification, given Democratic suspicions of free trade agreements, Republican animus for…

Pressure is likely to build on Erdogan’s opponents

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TURKEY

Erdogan’s weakened position.

South Africa’s Ramaphosa will need greater branch push

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SOUTH AFRICA

A profile of Cyril Ramaphosa.

Multiple crises threaten Mozambican gas dividends

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MOZAMBIQUE

Meanwhile, a recent court decision surrounding a long-running debt scandal will make it more difficult for Maputo to secure external budgetary support and ensure that state-owned…