Pressure is likely to build on Erdogan’s opponents

Friday, August 16, 2019

Subject

Erdogan’s weakened position.

Significance

Two months after the electors of Istanbul rejected his candidate for mayor by a margin of over 800,000 votes, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is still seeking to retrieve his position and forestall defections from his party.

Impacts

  • The role of China as a financial and trade partner will grow.
  • A further interest rate cut may undermine the lira.
  • Turkey’s brain drain will accelerate.
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