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Czech government will be wary of more virus missteps

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CZECH REPUBLIC

Unlike the first wave, the government’s reaction to the second wave of COVID-19 was late and tainted by political calculations. Mixed signals from the political establishment and…

Ecuador deal will help long-term debt sustainability

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ECUADOR

COVID-19 lockdown measures and low oil prices are weighing on the economy, which the IMF expects to contract by 6.7% this year. According to the IMF, Ecuador’s gross financing…

Politics and medical realities may collide in Tanzania

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TANZANIA

Tanzania's COVID-19 policy response.

Post-virus downturn could hurt Hungary’s government

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HUNGARY

The pandemic has strengthened Prime Minister Viktor Orban’s position in the short term. However, the government has done little on the economic front; a conservative stimulus…

Street pressures will erode elite cohesion in Cuba

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CUBA

The government is nevertheless shaken. Protests were triggered by severe economic hardship, and reflect a loss of public confidence that the government can improve matters. The…

Thai premier’s political strategy will be flexible

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THAILAND

The government parliamentary bloc is led by the Phalang Pracharat Party, formed to support Prayut’s transition from junta leader to civilian premier. While dampening speculation…

Ghana’s COVID-19 response faces growing scrutiny

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GHANA

The initial crisis response of Akufo-Addo's government appeared to strengthen his standing ahead of general elections later this year. However, since the early easing of a partial…

Central America elections pose risks of unrest

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CENTRAL AMERICA

Campaigning will be muted, as the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic will constrain public events. Government handling of the crisis will be a consideration for voters, alongside…

Prospects for Central America to end-2021

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PROSPECTS H2 2021

Prospects for Central America to end-2021.

Government-Syriza rifts may bar Greek crisis consensus

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GREECE

Koufodinas, a left-wing terrorist convicted of eleven assassinations of businessmen, conservative politicians, and UK and US officers, believed he was entitled to transfer to…