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Prospects for South-east Asia in 2023

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PROSPECTS 2023

Prospects for South-east Asia in 2023.

Vietnam will expand US security ties incrementally

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VIETNAM

Earlier this month, Defence Minister Phan Van Giang met US counterpart Lloyd Austin at the Pentagon. In September 2023, during a visit by Biden to Vietnam, Hanoi and Washington…

Fading support for Ukraine will affect EU policymaking

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EU

This suggests a growing disconnect within European society from the realities of the war and a decrease in the perceived threat posed by Russia. This outcome reflects heightened…

Asian summits highlight contrasting trajectories

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ASIA

Indonesia hosted the 43rd ASEAN summit and related events, including the 18th East Asia Summit (EAS). India held its first-ever G20 summit. ASEAN’s chairmanship now passes to…

Taiwan focus is on defence and third force politics

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TAIWAN

The arms will be taken directly from US stockpiles. China is the central factor in campaigning for Taiwan’s 2024 presidential elections. However, a strong showing by a third-party…

West will urge parties to form Kosovo government

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KOSOVO

In the lead is the three-party PAN coalition, comprising the Democratic Party of Kosovo (PDK), the Alliance for the Future of Kosovo (AAK) and Initiative for Kosovo (Nisma), all…

Prospects for Mexico to end-2019

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PROSPECTS H2 2019

Prospects to end-2019.

Turkey’s 2023 elections will drive Greek relations

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GREECE

Just after the missile was tested on October 18 in a launch over the Black Sea, Erdogan said it was a “message” to Turkey’s adversaries. The Tayfun's 560-kilometre range, twice…

Frosty Russia-US ties will mar post-Obama cooperation

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RUSSIA/US

With allegations of Russian intrusions into US computer systems for political purposes occurring alongside Russian-backed violence in both Ukraine and Syria, it is no surprise…

Venezuelan election result will debilitate Maduro

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VENEZUELA

The final official vote tally in Venezuela shows 68% for incumbent President Nicolas Maduro in Sunday’s election, well above the previous high for the ruling United Socialist…