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US president’s UK visit is likely to be ‘placeholder’

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US/UK

This comes as US foreign policy, especially towards China and Iran, is forcing some political tightrope-walking for US partners. It also comes as UK Prime Minister Theresa May…

Russia’s grain future in doubt despite good harvest

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RUSSIA/UKRAINE

O'Brien, head of the department's sanctions office, said that despite Moscow's concerns, its food and fertiliser exports had not been observably disrupted. Russian grain output is…

Venezuela sanctions shift will not bring rapid gains

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VENEZUELA/US

Modification is expected to the tough sanctions which the Trump administration imposed on Venezuela’s oil sector. Washington has a geostrategic interest in peeling Venezuela away…

Hoped-for Balkan tourism recovery is unlikely in 2022

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BALKANS

After the COVID-19 pandemic devastated the tourist sector in 2020 and 2021, countries where tourism is important were eyeing a ‘golden year’ in 2022 now that most travel…

Astana partnership over Syria can survive tests

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SYRIA

Idlib is the location of a nominal de-escalation zone brokered by Russia and Turkey last September. Those countries, along with Iran, held a summit in the Kazakh capital…

New US security team will be more hawkish

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UNITED STATES

President Donald Trump’s choice of Bolton and Pompeo has alarmed US allies, in large part because both men have advocated using military force towards Iran and North Korea, two…

ASEAN and partners are far from sealing key trade pact

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ASEAN

Most of ASEAN’s dialogue partners will be present at the talks in Bangkok. High on the agenda will be attempts to conclude negotiations over the Regional Comprehensive Economic…

Myanmar conflict will be protracted

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MYANMAR

Attacks by anti-junta People's Defence Forces (PDFs), which operate largely autonomously from each other, are taking an increasing toll on the army. Western powers are ramping up…

Constitutional reform will be Armenia's dividing line

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ARMENIA

President Serzh Sargsyan has proposed moving from a presidential to a parliamentary system of government. His embrace of constitutional reform at this stage stems from a new…

Belarus leader will emerge weaker from election win

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BELARUS

Of the four candidates left standing against Lukashenka, only Svyatlana Tsikhanouskaya is making efforts to build support.