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Paraguay's Pena will face major governance challenges

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PARAGUAY

His inaugural speech displayed commitment to a right-wing economic strategy and pro-US foreign policy. However, it omitted two potential threats to governance: renegotiation of…

Central American violence trends will diverge in 2015

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CENTRAL AMERICA

Diverging trends in Central American violence.

Major tests lie ahead for Ecuador’s Noboa

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ECUADOR

The legislation’s smooth journey through Congress illustrates the pragmatic relationship Noboa has established with the legislature. This, however, will be difficult to maintain…

Kuczynski leads Peru runoff, but only just

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PERU

Both candidates are pro-business but Kuczynski has questioned Fujimori's democratic credentials. Peruvian politics remain polarised for and against the possibility of a return to…

Peru cabinet reshuffle will bring little policy change

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PERU

Boluarte has reshuffled some key cabinet posts, including the portfolios of defence, economy and finance, and energy and mines. The main purpose of the changes is to shore up…

Arevalo will steer gradual improvements in Guatemala

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GUATEMALA

Arevalo’s victory marks a shift in Guatemalan politics. After years of democratic backsliding, Arevalo promises a slow, partial recovery of transparency and the rule of law. His…

Swedish minority government will hold together for now

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SWEDEN

Curbing immigration is a central element in the agreement between the minority government and the far-right Sweden Democrats (SD) to secure their support in parliament. One year…

Prospects for US politics in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

At home, his administration will focus on economic revival and reform, and on COVID-19 public health measures. In foreign affairs, Biden’s team will focus on rebuilding US…

Some cooperation is possible in next US Congress

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UNITED STATES

At best, Democrats can tie the Senate 50-50, controlling it after January 20 with the Democratic US vice-president’s vote. Otherwise, Republicans will have a small majority to…

Economic gloom will roil Uruguay election uncertainty

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URUGUAY

The pre-election outlook.