Arevalo will steer gradual improvements in Guatemala

Significance

Arevalo’s victory marks a shift in Guatemalan politics. After years of democratic backsliding, Arevalo promises a slow, partial recovery of transparency and the rule of law. His ability to deliver dramatic change of any kind, however, will be limited.

Impacts

• Torres has yet to concede and may challenge the election result.
• The public ministry will pursue charges against Semilla, with a view to stripping it of its legal standing.
• Pillars of Arevalo’s platform that require legislative support, notably an antitrust law, will be defeated by Congress.