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African opposition success depends on alliances

Location:

AFRICA

Opposition victories, especially those that remove long-standing authoritarian regimes, have been associated with democratic strengthening, with transfers of power shown to boost…

The threat of African military coups may rise

Location:

AFRICA

International agreement that all unconstitutional transfers should be condemned and punished is being tested by carefully designed takeovers that appear to adhere to democratic…

Sudan takes calculated risk with Bashir and the ICC

Location:

SUDAN

Implications of former President Omar al-Bashir's possible handover to the ICC.

Chagos ruling will boost chances of Mauritian return

Location:

MAURITIUS

A majority finding by the ICJ declared the excision of the Chagos Archipelago from Mauritius shortly before its independence illegal and suggested that UN member states should…

Africa declining democratic norms portend instability

Location:

AFRICA

Although some countries have seen peaceful transfers of power to opposition parties -- such as in Cape Verde last month and Nigeria in March 2015 -- the trend is towards rising…

Consensus may prove crucial for new Somali president

Location:

SOMALIA

Although the elections were delayed for over a year, the result marks a fifth consecutive peaceful transfer of power since 2000.

AMISOM’s Somalia withdrawal will be long and difficult

Location:

SOMALIA

AMISOM withdrawal plans

Isolation and drift mar Kenya's foreign policy outlook

Location:

KENYA

Outlook for Kenya's external relations.

CAR dialogue may falter amid broader challenges

Location:

CAR

Nevertheless, the political situation remains extremely fragile, rebel activity continues, and allegations of human rights abuses and reports of conflicts over business interests…

Somalia faces deepening al-Shabaab threat

Location:

SOMALIA

In recent weeks, al-Shabaab has conducted assassinations in Mogadishu, attacked African Union Mission in Somalia (AMISOM) convoys and an AMISOM base, ambushed US-trained Somali…