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Default risk drives Venezuela institutional crisis

Location:

VENEZUELA

In a major misstep linked to frantic efforts to raise monies for looming bond payments, on March 29 the Supreme Court (TSJ) temporarily usurped the functions of the…

Prospects for Venezuela to end-2017

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PROSPECTS H2 2017

Prospects for Venezuela to end-2017.

Foreign scrutiny will grow of Cameroon’s Biya

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CAMEROON

In recent months, a heightened crackdown on political dissent, alongside a deteriorating security crisis in the predominantly anglophone Northwest and Southwest, has prompted Nagy…

Apple's China bargain is running out of time

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CHINA

A major exception is Apple, for which China is both a major market and a global production base. The firm's activities in China have sparked controversies in both China and the…

Oil sanctions will not bring rapid change in Venezuela

Location:

VENEZUELA

President Nicolas Maduro’s beleaguered government will seek to sidestep sanctions on the Venezuelan oil sector announced by the United States on January 28. Some technical aspects…

Risks of armed conflict are mounting in Venezuela

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VENEZUELA

The political conflict in Venezuela appears to be moving decisively in favour of the opposition, with vocal, official recognition from the United States, Canada, Brazil, the EU…

Venezuelan early election call raises a range of risks

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VENEZUELA

On January 23, Venezuela’s National Constituent Assembly (ANC) called for presidential elections to be brought forward to before April 30. The move has exacerbated an already…

Cuban discontent will be muted despite economic woes

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CUBA

At the same time, private businesses have been allowed to import as never before. New privately owned shops caters to those with hard currency, but for most people the economic…

Mexico farming regulations will strain US trade ties

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MEXICO

Mexico’s position has triggered opposition from producers both within Mexico and in the United States, especially those of the ‘corn belt’ states of Iowa, Illinois and Nebraska…

Castro reforms set to slow in Cuba

Location:

CUBA

Rapprochement and reform efforts.