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Presidential run-off will be unpredictable in Peru

Location:

PERU

This has been exacerbated by corruption scandals and, more recently, the negative socioeconomic impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic. There will now be a second round of voting in…

Post-COVID era could be better for European populists

Location:

WESTERN EUROPE

This left little room for politicisation by parties to engage public opinion. However, support for such parties is stable compared to pre-pandemic levels, suggesting they are…

Pinera will struggle to govern Chile in coming months

Location:

CHILE

The previous week it tried to block a similar congressional initiative by sending it to the Constitutional Tribunal for review. Its own initiative aims to order the ranks of its…

Lithuanian conservative parties will win October vote

Location:

LITHUANIA

Gitanas Nauseda won the second-round presidential election on May 26, 2019, by 67% to Ingrida Simonyte’s 33%. Both ran as independents; the opposition conservative Homeland…

Prospects for Mexico in 2021

Location:

PROSPECTS 2021

Crime and insecurity continue to worsen, while protests over myriad issues are becoming more common. President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) will probably have to forge a…

Racial divisions will shape 2016 election outcome

Location:

UNITED STATES

Race relations and the 2016 US election.

Central America faces major challenges in 2021

Location:

CENTRAL AMERICA

While governments have begun tentative efforts to restart economic activity, the crisis is far from over. It looks sure to shape the main issues of 2021, exacerbating all the…

Crises could dash Niger government’s election hopes

Location:

NIGER

Official campaigning may take place only 21 days before the elections. His tour comes against the backdrop of military procurement corruption revelations, a deteriorating regional…

Angolan youth frustrations could grow

Location:

ANGOLA

Both reflecting and channelling recent localised protests about various issues, this movement of non-party youth has become a focal point for growing frustration with President…

Latin America protest risks will rise post-COVID-19

Location:

LATIN AMERICA

Latin America and the Caribbean now account for over one-quarter of confirmed COVID-19 cases and around one-third of deaths. Although stringent COVID-19-related measures imposed…