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Limits to Russia’s ties with Turkey will persist

Location:

RUSSIA

Energy ties, already deep, have expanded since 2022 as part of a broader reorientation of Russian commerce away from the West. The similarly authoritarian leadership styles of…

China cannot offset Western sanctions on Russia

Location:

CHINA/RUSSIA

It has also denied engaging in discussions with Moscow about providing military assistance, a claim the US government has made to allied nations.

Fear of Russia mutes South Caucasus responses

Location:

CAUCASUS

Georgia's evolving position on the conflict has been confused: a refusal to support sanctions followed by a sudden application for EU membership. Armenia's moral qualms are…

US sanctions may be serious for Turkish arms industry

Location:

TURKEY

The 2021 presidential programme forecast domestic content in defence projects reaching 71% and arms exports tripling to USD6.2bn. However, that was before Washington banned export…

Emerging Asia activity will slow despite China rebound

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

ASEAN's growth is nevertheless expected to outpace global growth, of which China and India are expected to contribute more than 50% -- India about 15% and China around 35%.

Sanctions will reduce Russia’s oil exports eventually

Location:

RUSSIA

In June 2022, Russia booked almost twice the revenue (USD20.4bn) from such exports. Declining oil income poses a serious challenge to the administration of President Vladimir…

Eastern Europe’s green transition will need more work

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EASTERN EUROPE

National efforts, EU-wide measures, warm weather and low Chinese demand helped them weather the impact of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, but partly at the expense of progress on…

Cyberactivity in Ukraine signals Russian limits

Location:

INT

However, since the start of the invasion, Russia has only targeted some Ukrainian government and financial institutions, causing limited and contained damage. Ukrainian critical…

Fear of Russia will drive Belarus's defence policy

Location:

BELARUS

The events in Crimea and Donbas have demonstrated Russia's willingness to use military force to influence neighbouring states. Recent months have seen growing disputes between…

How Afrin campaign unfolds may affect Turkish security

Location:

TURKEY

Turkey’s internal stability.