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Slovenia’s government will work with new president

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SLOVENIA

Although her victory -- as an independent candidate -- is not what the governing Freedom Movement (GS), Social Democrat (SD) and Left (Levica) parties hoped for, they are relieved…

Politics will exacerbate Lebanon’s economic crises

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LEBANON

Lebanon also only has a caretaker government with restricted powers, at a time when the economy has contracted for four consecutive years. A staff-level IMF package worth USD3bn…

Pragmatism will sustain Italy’s support for Ukraine

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ITALY

Allies feared that the election of Meloni and her populist right-wing government last September would threaten Western unity over Ukraine. However, Meloni has used the issue to…

Restricting immigration will lower US GDP

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UNITED STATES

Immigration policy outlook.

Prospects for Turkey to end-2017

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PROSPECTS H2 2017

Prospects for Turkey to end-2017.

Prospects for Europe in the fourth quarter

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PROSPECTS Q4 2015

Prospects for Europe in the fourth quarter.

Hungarian economy will face post-election challenges

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HUNGARY

The next government's economic prospects.

Repeated vote may give Greek premier four more years

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GREECE

With parliament serving out its full term, a protracted electoral campaign lies ahead. However, Mitsotakis also said the election was a “springboard to final victory”: he expects…

Immigration policy could topple Swedish government

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SWEDEN

This is a lower forecast than the 170,000 the agency predicted in October, before Sweden reimposed controls at its border with Denmark. The immigration issue is causing strains…

War and sanctions will hit Russian consumer spending

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RUSSIA

The cost will increase pressure on households already experiencing declining real incomes and worrying about the military mobilisation which the government says has taken 300,000…