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Attacks on Russian refineries will cause oil shortages

Location:

RUSSIA

The rising frequency of drone attacks is raising the risk of oil product shortages within Russia. Already Western sanctions on the supply of spare parts had made the maintenance…

Limits to Russia’s ties with Turkey will persist

Location:

RUSSIA

Energy ties, already deep, have expanded since 2022 as part of a broader reorientation of Russian commerce away from the West. The similarly authoritarian leadership styles of…

More disputes are likely despite Belarus-Russia deal

Location:

BELARUS/RUSSIA

A meeting between President Alexander Lukashenka and his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin in early April appeared to resolve multiple disputes and set their countries back on a…

Russia will expand Middle East security and trade role

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

The previous day, the Pentagon said that Moscow was trying to influence events in Libya. Since intervening in Syria in September 2015, President Vladimir Putin has established…

Gloomy outlook for Russian extractives, manufacturing

Location:

RUSSIA

New EU restrictions on oil imports from December and a price cap on seaborne crude are expected to reduce Russian oil production, whose recent recovery has temporarily obscured…

Militarisation will cause rising distortions in Russia

Location:

RUSSIA

Record levels of defence spending have led to surging demand for inputs used to manufacture military equipment, driving up output across various sectors. However, evidence of…

Belarus will seek closer integration with Russia

Location:

BELARUS

With both countries facing isolation from the West, Russia and Belarus are seeking to move closer together. The contact mechanisms of the Union State of Russia and Belarus are…

Russia's budget revenue forecast may prove optimistic

Location:

RUSSIA

The Ministry of Finance is seeking new ways to boost federal revenues to fund rising military expenditure, as well as any pledges made during the forthcoming presidential election…

Syria sees an energy deficit despite military advances

Location:

SYRIA

The Syrian army and its allies have driven IS out of most of the region from Homs to the edge of the Euphrates valley, recapturing several gas fields. This has yielded a marginal…

Frictions with Moscow underline Belarusian dependence

Location:

BELARUS

Disputes about fuel prices, as well as Belarusian concerns about Moscow's treatment of Ukraine, have marred the long-term Belarusian-Russian alignment. As head of the weaker…