Search results

Central Europe may cut rates despite high inflation

Location:

EASTERN EUROPE

Lower wholesale natural gas prices have improved balance-of-payments and fiscal positions and driven down inflation rates in Central Europe (CE). Financial markets are pricing in…

Ukrainian grain exports to threaten European cohesion

Location:

UKRAINE

Support for Ukraine among its closest neighbours has been strained by the diversion of Ukrainian grain to local markets, depressing prices for domestic producers. This has been…

Russia will seek to benefit from the Israel-Hamas war

Location:

RUSSIA

In the wake of the war between Hamas and Israel, Russia has positioned itself as an important player in the Middle East, which can leverage its working relationships with all the…

Ukraine crisis will bring heavy costs for Europe

Location:

EU

The sanctions amount to a middle-of-the-road approach: leaders agreed to keep Russia in the SWIFT payment system and avoid targeting Russian energy exports. They will not cause…

Russia can expect only limited Chinese assistance

Location:

RUSSIA/CHINA

China's leadership has offered Russia general expressions of support given the adversities it faces, but this falls far short of wholehearted backing for its war in Ukraine…

Prospects for Turkey in 2022

Location:

PROSPECTS 2022

Prospects for Turkey in 2022.

Obdurate Putin will obstruct end to Ukraine war

Location:

RUSSIA/UKRAINE

These comments by one of Russia's less hawkish adversaries reflect pessimism about the chances of identifying a route to conflict resolution. Nonetheless, the first anniversary of…

EU oil ban will bite into Russia's budget and GDP

Location:

RUSSIA

Oil sales to the EU netted an average USD10bn in March and April; this revenue stream will be lost if European leaders can agree unanimously on a ban. Refined products as well as…

Global climate goals are on course to be missed

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

Amid rising energy and food prices, the report reaffirms the magnitude of the climate change challenge. Building on the previous two working group reports, it sets out potential…

Landslide win gives Putin six more years

Location:

RUSSIA

Putin won 87% of the vote on 74% turnout, surpassing the 68% seen in 2018. Communist candidate Nikolai Kharitonov came second with just under 4%. Scattered opposition protests and…