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German foreign policy will struggle under coalition

Location:

GERMANY

On foreign policy, the three parties are rhetorically committed to adopting a tougher stance towards China and other authoritarian countries. However, they differ on what this…

Jakarta’s ‘downstreaming’ policy could backfire

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INDONESIA

The policy involves restricting exports of certain raw materials in an attempt to encourage greater value-added processing domestically. The government banned exports of nickel…

Brazil's GPA accession will involve costs and benefits

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BRAZIL

The agreement would open a market of USD1.7tn for Brazilian companies to compete for government procurement contracts internationally, but would also render them vulnerable to…

East Timor will struggle to improve economic outlook

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EAST TIMOR

The country is trying to rebuild its economy, which contracted by an estimated 7.6% in 2020. The fallout of the COVID-19 crisis has cut oil and gas income, which contributes about…

Brazil's OECD accession will face delays

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BRAZIL

Brazil's OECD membership ambitions.

Catalonia is the main risk for Spain’s new government

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SPAIN

Sanchez will now have to do something which he desperately sought to avoid: rely on Catalan support to survive in government.

Arevalo will steer gradual improvements in Guatemala

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GUATEMALA

Arevalo’s victory marks a shift in Guatemalan politics. After years of democratic backsliding, Arevalo promises a slow, partial recovery of transparency and the rule of law. His…

Croatia's political weaknesses will slow growth

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CROATIA

Inflation seems to have returned to the economy following three years of near-continual deflation. After years in the doldrums, the Croatian economy is finally experiencing…

AGOA exclusion adds to economic pressure on Ethiopia

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ETHIOPIA

This adds to the bad economic news for the country, which recently had to postpone its second telecoms licensing round, is still waiting to restructure its foreign debt and faces…

China-US trade talks will likely see minimal changes

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CHINA/US

Washington suspects Meng of connection with efforts to violate US sanctions on Iran, something her side denies. Despite the long lead-time (with an August 22 warrant issued) and…