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'Total peace' in Colombia will not materialise in 2024

Location:

COLOMBIA

Another government ceasefire with the National Liberation Army (ELN) is due to expire on January 29. Bilateral ceasefires foster some stability amid efforts to negotiate with…

Sudan’s offer of mediation in Ethiopia will fall flat

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SUDAN/ETHIOPIA

Ethiopia on August 6 had rejected his mediation offer, saying a lack of trust between the two nations meant Sudan could not be a credible mediator.

Indian stance holds key to peace talks with Pakistan

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INDIA/PAKISTAN

This news follows a statement from India's National Security Advisor (NSA) Ajit Doval that foreign secretary-level talks, which mark the formal resumption of the long-stalled…

Talks with jihadists in the Sahel face many obstacles

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WEST AFRICA

Nigerien President Mohamed Bazoum has similarly alluded to ongoing outreach to jihadists. These efforts reflect a broader level of increased regional political acceptance of…

Burkina Faso’s government may explore peace talks

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BURKINA FASO

Re-elected President Roch Marc Christian Kabore, who previously opposed the idea, has indirectly sent signals through surrogates that he is open to exploring dialogue. Nowhere in…

Brazil's Embraer may reach Boeing deal by year-end

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BRAZIL

The outlook for a Boeing-Embraer deal.

Prospects for Iran in 2020

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PROSPECTS 2020

Prospects for Iran in 2020.

Barkhane’s end is not a game changer for the Sahel

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SAHEL

French President Emmanuel Macron announced in June that France's Sahel-focused Operation Barkhane would wind down by early 2022. Although the actual drawdown plans are still…

Somali security strategy ignores old lessons

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SOMALIA

When his latest term started, the president hinted that he might consider negotiations with al-Shabaab, and he still says he remains open to this. However, following a major…

Washington has limited options for Ukraine

Location:

UNITED STATES

Washington continues to warn that a Russian attack on Ukraine is imminent while arguing that it has offered Moscow a "serious diplomatic path" out of the crisis. Private messages…