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Sudan’s offer of mediation in Ethiopia will fall flat

Thursday, August 26, 2021

Significance

Ethiopia on August 6 had rejected his mediation offer, saying a lack of trust between the two nations meant Sudan could not be a credible mediator.

Impacts

  • Continued rejections of talks could prompt Washington to threaten more severe economic sanctions against all conflict actors.
  • Disruptions to humanitarian aid to Tigray will likely continue while the humanitarian situation in Amhara and Afar may worsen.
  • The withdrawal of Ethiopian troops from the Abyei peacekeeping mission on Sudan’s southern border will suit both sides.

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