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World order and US role will endure, for now

Location:

US/INT

Trump’s vision of world order challenges the post-war consensus of US leadership across the post-1945 multilateral global institutions, of which the UN is one. Trump favours more…

EU-US relations may be at a turning point

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EU/US

Trump first snubbed the EU on April 30 with a mere postponement of possible tariffs and then humiliated the E3 (Germany, France and the United Kingdom) on May 8 with his decision…

Biden would face early tests of US resolve abroad

Location:

UNITED STATES

If Trump is re-elected, his foreign policy will continue in the same vein as his first term. If Biden wins, he is likely -- as other new presidents have -- to have his foreign…

EU foreign policy fragmentation will increase

Location:

EU

Structural challenges to EU foreign policy.

US-India-Pakistan cyber cooperation will be limited

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US/INDIA/PAKISTAN

Washington, Delhi and Islamabad all view cybersecurity as a critical challenge, and the US administration wants to work multilaterally to address shared global threats. However…

Outlook for a future EU-US trade agreement is poor

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EU/US

EU-US trade.

Prospects for US politics in 2021

Location:

PROSPECTS 2021

At home, his administration will focus on economic revival and reform, and on COVID-19 public health measures. In foreign affairs, Biden’s team will focus on rebuilding US…

Biden’s US team will differ in focus from Obama’s

Location:

UNITED STATES

If confirmed, Buttigieg would become the first openly LGBTQ US cabinet official. In assembling his team, Biden is emphasising experience and diversity, drawing heavily on past…