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Russia’s influence in Central Asia will wane

Location:

CENTRAL ASIA

During his meeting with his Kazakh counterpart Kassym-Jomart Tokayev in Astana, Putin called the two countries “not just allies, but very close allies”. A month earlier, Putin had…

Armenia-Turkey rapprochement a surprise outcome of war

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ARMENIA/TURKEY

Moscow hosted the meeting, implicitly claiming the role of arbiter in the South Caucasus. The 'normalisation' initiative is an unexpected development since it follows Turkey's…

Russia seeks mediating but not dominant Libyan role

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RUSSIA/LIBYA

Moscow is increasingly involved in Libya in support of a dual ambition to be taken seriously as a regional power and an honest intermediary. As Turkey takes sides in the conflict…

South Caucasus rail revival will bring uneven benefits

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ARMENIA/AZERBAIJAN

The two-month conflict between Azerbaijani and Armenian forces has produced a breakthrough in an unexpected area: rail routes providing the South Caucasus with new connectivity…

Prospects for Russian foreign policy in 2019

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PROSPECTS 2019

Prospects for Russian foreign policy in 2019.

Russia wants Ukraine gas transit but stalls on timing

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UKRAINE/RUSSIA

The future of Russian gas transiting Ukraine.

Russia will lose more influence in the South Caucasus

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SOUTH CAUCASUS

Azerbaijan’s recapture of the Nagorno-Karabakh region signalled a new era in Russia’s foreign policy towards the South Caucasus. Distracted by its war in Ukraine, Moscow is no…

Ukraine grain imports test EU unity

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EASTERN EUROPE

Ukraine’s free access to the EU market has caused a glut of wheat, maize, sunflower and rapeseed in neighbouring countries, triggering a political backlash and demands for…

Russian farms perform well but face challenges

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RUSSIA

State-supported substitution of banned Western foodstuffs has boosted agriculture, which in 2016 enjoyed its most successful year in the post-Soviet period. Both the wheat harvest…

Eurasian Union will be economic not political block

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RUSSIA

Russia and the Eurasian Economic Union