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Kenya's primaries may not portend a violent election

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KENYA

After the chaotic and competitive party primaries prior to the August 8 general election, many disappointed contestants are seeking to run as independents across all six…

US-East Africa envoy’s exit signals policy incoherence

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US/EAST AFRICA

Satterfield’s apparent departure comes at a critical juncture in several of the crises facing the Horn of Africa, notably in Ethiopia and Sudan, with which US policymakers have…

Small parties are key to averting El Salvador default

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EL SALVADOR

Fiscal crisis in El Salvador.

Lull in violence offers hope for end to Ethiopia’s war

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ETHIOPIA

Following a recent federal offensive, Tigrayan forces have largely withdrawn from neighbouring Amhara and Afar regions and federal authorities have said they will not pursue them…

Sudan’s revolution may pay wider peace dividend

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SUDAN

The Constitutional Declaration -- a power-sharing agreement between the military leaders who ousted former President Omar al-Bashir and the protest leaders who led the popular…

Ethiopia teeters on the brink of civil war

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ETHIOPIA

These developments threaten to ignite a multi-dimensional civil war pitting Tigrayan against federal and Amhara regional forces.

Prospects for Ukraine in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

None is easily resolvable and President Volodymyr Zelensky's administration is not faring well. More than a year after Zelensky’s double election wins, it is increasingly apparent…

Local truces could increase Libya's oil production

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LIBYA

The impact of the rising number of local truces.

UNAMID withdrawal may increase Darfur contestation

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SUDAN

The resolution was a stopgap, as COVID-19 restrictions prevented the UNSC from meeting to discuss whether to replace UNAMID with a new political and peace support mission…

Southern Syria faces rising security problems

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SYRIA

Together with Syrian government budget cutbacks, the decreased Russian presence has resulted in an increase in inter-communal clashes, forced disappearances, demonstrations and…