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Prospects for European migration in 2019-23

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PROSPECTS 2019-23

Prospects for European migration in 2019-23.

Turkey is closing in on ambitious arms industry goals

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TURKEY

Turkey’s rising defence expenditure.

Iraqi parties may compromise on a cabinet soon

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IRAQ

The outline of a new coalition is coming together, driven by a series of alliances made by the top vote-winner, Moqtada al-Sadr. Despite a controversial history, in recent years…

Saudi crown prince may move against his detractors

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SAUDI ARABIA

The scandal over Khashoggi’s death has been a profound embarrassment to the government, which has belatedly acknowledged that senior officials were implicated. However, there is…

Iraq’s Shia parties will hawk nationalist credentials

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IRAQ

The Kurdish referendum has complicated Abadi’s efforts to win reselection after provincial and national elections, expected in April 2018. Abadi -- an Arab Shia -- is vying for…

Erdogan to push controversial nuclear expansion

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TURKEY

Turkey is heavily dependent on imported natural gas for heating and power generation. Russian imports account for 50% of gas demand, putting the current account under strain. The…

Baghdad will struggle to manage its own borders

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IRAQ

So far, results have been mixed. There have been some positive outcomes in terms of increased customs payments and improved security. However, control of key border crossings…

Zarrab trial is another blow to Turkish-US ties

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TURKEY/US

Zarrab has been revealing details of corruption at the highest levels in Turkey enabling him to set up a scheme whereby Iran was paid in gold for oil exports to Turkey in…

Kuwait’s next crown prince may herald policy change

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KUWAIT

As emir and before that as foreign minister, Sabah was the key architect of the moderate foreign policy that characterises Kuwait today. The new ruler, Nawaf, was formerly deputy…

Lebanon’s local port blast investigation will stall

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LEBANON

However, the HRC stopped short of establishing an international probe -- a key demand of Lebanese protesters who complain the local process is stalled. They reject in particular…