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Venezuelan early election call raises a range of risks

Location:

VENEZUELA

On January 23, Venezuela’s National Constituent Assembly (ANC) called for presidential elections to be brought forward to before April 30. The move has exacerbated an already…

Fidesz’s win will embolden Orban and isolate Hungary

Location:

HUNGARY

The result was a surprise to everyone. A new far-right party, Our Homeland, enters parliament, likely lending further support to Fidesz on key issues. Prime Minister Viktor…

Suspending Fidesz is EU party group’s short-term fix

Location:

HUNGARY/EU

The suspension, which has no official expiry date, is likely to last until the European Parliament (EP) elections in May. By not excluding Fidesz, as 14 member parties had…

Venezuela talks continue but amid steep obstacles

Location:

VENEZUELA

While there is moderate optimism among European, Latin American and Caribbean countries about a negotiated solution to Venezuela’s crisis, the United States remains sceptical. The…

Stresses will build in Balkans despite stable veneer

Location:

BALKANS

With much of the Serbian opposition threatening to boycott the spring parliamentary elections, a European Parliament (EP)-facilitated dialogue was initiated on October 9-10…

Hungarian Fidesz illiberalism will defy EU criticism

Location:

HUNGARY

The EP vote could in theory lead to sanctions under Article 7 of the EU Treaty (TEU). An 'illiberal state' has emerged in Hungary since 2010, profoundly and durably modifying the…

Weaker AKP would reduce Turkish president's authority

Location:

TURKEY

The ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) should easily get the most votes, but it faces a likely setback and a dent in its authority. Weakening support from its voters and…

Erdogan may emerge from pandemic even stronger

Location:

TURKEY

Official figures give Turkey a case fatality rate of 2.7% or 49 deaths per million, well below Western European figures and by no means the catastrophe predicted by outside…

Poland’s policy on farm protests may shift after polls

Location:

POLAND

The latest protests coincide with the Donald Tusk government’s first 100 days and scrutiny of his performance as prime minister. Most polls indicate continuing support for the…

Fidesz’s rift with EU centre-right will cost Hungary

Location:

HUNGARY

This increases the likelihood of conflicts between Budapest and Brussels, as Fidesz is expected to ally itself with radical parties internationally. The Hungarian government’s…