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Prospects for Venezuela to end-2017

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2017

Prospects for Venezuela to end-2017.

Iraqi measures to rein in militias will be cosmetic

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IRAQ

Meanwhile, concern is growing that Israel is mounting regular airstrikes on Iran-backed militia bases inside Iraq. The conflict against Islamic State (IS) led to the emergence of…

Civil-military dynamic will fuel Myanmar’s crisis

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MYANMAR

The military continues to crack down heavily on anti-coup protesters. Its leaders have long regarded civil society as a threat to Myanmar’s unity and security.

Baku will resist a quick peace deal with Armenia

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ARMENIA

The latest round of talks between Armenia and Azerbaijan in Geneva on March 22 ended without any concrete progress on negotiations over a bilateral peace agreement. The meeting…

Russia will show pragmatism in seeking Syria solution

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RUSSIA/SYRIA

Government forces have struggled to make headway in their offensive against the final rebel stronghold in the north-west. That campaign enjoys significant Russian support…

Myanmar junta may weaken but will not make concessions

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MYANMAR

ASEAN’s ‘Five-Point Consensus’ plan to ease the fallout from the 2021 coup shows no signs of making progress, and Cambodia -- the group’s 2022 chair -- has stopped advocating…

Cambodia will try to rebalance its partnerships

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CAMBODIA

Cambodia, chairing ASEAN this year, is attempting to further the bloc’s five-point plan for easing Myanmar’s post-coup tensions. Separately, Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida…

Thailand will pursue a more proactive foreign policy

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THAILAND

Thailand is devoting more attention to foreign policy under Srettha. The fallout from the 2006 and 2014 coups adversely affected its foreign relations, but it retains an important…

Central African Republic peace deal needs executing

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CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC

The accord, the full contents of which are still not public, differs from previous deals in that it follows the first direct talks between the parties and because the government…

Prospects for Pakistan in 2022

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PROSPECTS 2022

Separately, the recent Taliban takeover of Afghanistan was a strategic win, given the military-security establishment’s long-standing support for the group. The Taliban’s 'Haqqani…