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Normal politics will not return to Ukraine soon

Location:

UKRAINE

The invasion has consolidated public opinion around President Volodymyr Zelensky and increased the power of the security apparatus, helping kickstart some reforms but also…

EURO-AREA: Banking union faces long-term risks

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EURO-AREA

Banking union outlook.

Italy's Renzi will face critical tests before year-end

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ITALY

This is a crucial step for the government before year-end, together with long-term banking issues and slowing economic recovery. The European Commission has allowed Italy…

Uncertainty around UK Brexit legislation will be high

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UNITED KINGDOM

The UK government’s path to March 29, 2019, when the United Kingdom is due to leave the EU, could be blocked by parliament. There is the headline legislative work of passing any…

French president faces jeopardy in EU elections

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FRANCE

President Emmanuel Macron’s centrist Renaissance movement fell slightly to 16.5%. Opinion polls have been consistent for several weeks now, with RN appearing set for its…

Italy’s budget for next year reflects fiscal caution

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ITALY

The government proposes a moderate increase in spending, largely funded by better-than-expected GDP growth. Rome has committed to the previous government's fiscal consolidation…

Dilution of European green deal is likely

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EU

Notably, she did not announce new or ongoing legislative efforts associated with the green deal. The speech was the first public sign that the Commission’s green agenda is…

Prospects for Europe in the fourth quarter

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PROSPECTS Q4 2015

Prospects for Europe in the fourth quarter.

PiS cannot count on winning Polish elections outright

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POLAND

The October 13 parliamentary election will be one of the most important and consequential since 1989. If PiS wins, it will entrench and continue pushing ahead with its radical…

Belarus political 'tolerance' fits foreign policy aims

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BELARUS

Belarus's leadership is navigating carefully between Russia and the EU, avoiding alignment with Moscow against the West and exploring ways of engaging Europe on trade. Cautious…