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Burundi’s foreign overtures may have mixed impacts

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BURUNDI

In contrast to his predecessor’s open hostility towards the multilateral system, Ndayishimiye stressed the importance of international cooperation. However, Ndayishimiye will have…

Military advances harm Ethiopia’s peace prospects

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ETHIOPIA

The announcement followed multiple calls from international actors for a halt to the fighting, amid a massive federal and Eritrean offensive to capture Shire, a strategic and…

UNAMID withdrawal may increase Darfur contestation

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SUDAN

The resolution was a stopgap, as COVID-19 restrictions prevented the UNSC from meeting to discuss whether to replace UNAMID with a new political and peace support mission…

Burkina Faso: Military reshuffle will not win the war

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BURKINA FASO

This comes as part of a general shake-up of the military leadership amid a litany of promises from Kabore and other officials that the country is revamping its counter-terrorism…

Prospects for Nigeria to end-2022

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PROSPECTS H2 2022

Prospects for Nigeria to end-2022.

Returnee influx may add to volatility in South Sudan

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SOUTH SUDAN

Meanwhile, South Sudan's Upper Nile State, where most returnees have arrived, continues to wrestle with persistent instability.

Mali's north-south stand-off poses new conflict risks

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MALI

This responds to increasing tensions with the Malian junta over the implementation of the 2015 Algiers Accord peace deal. Increasingly heated rhetoric on both sides has aggravated…

Islamic State threat is a priority for Afghan Taliban

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AFGHANISTAN

The promise is in line with the Taliban's commitment to act against foreign terrorists in Afghanistan, or at least stop them harming the outside world. The current Taliban…