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Algiers will be wary of dynamics in the south

Location:

ALGERIA

The region has nonetheless seen waves of protests and some inter-communal clashes and terrorism over the past decade and more. Moreover, there are strong grievances in the south…

Bahrain will tightly control pro-Palestinian activity

Location:

BAHRAIN

It is also the first summit that Bahrain has hosted since signing the US-sponsored Abraham Accords in 2020 establishing diplomatic ties with Israel.

Libyan energy ambitions will likely fall short

Location:

LIBYA

Earlier, on January 7, NOC was forced to declare force majeure at Sharara oil field, the country’s largest, after protests shut it down. Oil and gas usually account for more than…

Tehran will prioritise conservative consolidation

Location:

IRAN

Many centrist and reformist candidates have been disqualified or declined to stand. This, together with the poor state of the economy and resentment over money spent abroad on…

Yemen’s anti-Huthi front is unlikely to regain force

Location:

YEMEN

The PLC is deeply divided, and economic conditions are deteriorating. There is no indication of improved governance in the southern areas of Yemen that it holds, despite the…

Threats of instability in Libya abound in 2024

Location:

LIBYA

While a 2020 ceasefire still holds, in the absence of new elections, the political landscape is significantly undermined by institutional rivalry. The country's fragmentation…

Egypt’s Israeli ties will persist despite war

Location:

EGYPT

It hosted an international conference on October 21 to promote diplomatic efforts to that end, and as the humanitarian crisis deepened, officials have ratcheted up their rhetoric…

Israel’s new unity will depend on the Gaza war

Location:

ISRAEL

Israeli society has been transfixed by the psychological impact of the daily hostage releases since November 24, heavily engaging with each family and fearing for those excluded…

Iraq's militias will move to consolidate power

Location:

IRAQ

The militias have targeted Israel but largely avoided targeting US bases, for fear of Washington's retaliation and to reduce tensions with their own government. The attacks on…

Libya’s Amazigh will bargain hard for more rights

Location:

LIBYA

Prime Minister Abdul Hamid al-Dbeiba hopes to win over Amazigh leaders with the promise of language recognition and other rights, largely to consolidate his position in the…