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Italy-EU relations face growing vulnerabilities

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ITALY

This coincided with other tensions between Meloni and Brussels. Meloni was strongly critical of an EU rule-of-law report on Italy, and was furious that she was sidelined from the…

Ukraine’s leadership reset will have a limited effect

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UKRAINE

As with the February reshuffle of the military command, these changes have been presented as part of an effort to ‘reset’ decision-making and improve governance. The president's…

AI raises the stakes in wars globally

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INTERNATIONAL

Leading powers are expending enormous human and financial resources to leverage AI tools for military purposes, with uncertain effects. Academic and think-tank discussions about…

French election will impact foreign policy

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FRANCE

Although his party finished third in the election, President Emmanuel Macron will retain control over foreign and security policy. However, Macron’s foreign policy decision-making…

Ukraine government reshuffle increases executive power

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UKRAINE

The shake-up in the cabinet and the Presidential Office was the largest overhaul of the political leadership since Russia’s full-scale invasion began in February 2022. Zelensky…

Iran's new president will face policy challenges

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IRAN

The view of Pezeshkian as a ‘reformist’ supports a belief that his victory in the presidential election is important as he is now in a position to make significant changes to…

Gaza will strain but not break Gulf-Iranian detente

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GULF STATES

While tensions across the region have risen sharply, Gulf and Iranian officials have engaged in regular and high-level dialogue that has so far prevented a wider conflagration…

Russian foreign influencer campaigns are evolving

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INT

In recent months, multiple European intelligence services have issued warnings of increased efforts by Russian state organisations to undermine social cohesion in Europe via…

Stability in Ethiopia’s Benishangul-Gumuz may not last

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ETHIOPIA

This complements earlier agreements with the two groups in late 2022 that not all factions had subscribed to. Consequently, there is currently no active rebellion in this…

Saudi stability will enable economic progress

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SAUDI ARABIA

The move follows its second initial public offering in June, when it raised more than USD12bn, which helps boost the government's accounts and the country's sovereign wealth fund…