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Stability in Ethiopia’s Benishangul-Gumuz may not last

Location:

ETHIOPIA

This complements earlier agreements with the two groups in late 2022 that not all factions had subscribed to. Consequently, there is currently no active rebellion in this…

Andean crime expansion poses regional challenge

Location:

LATIN AMERICA

The crisis of insecurity in Ecuador, in particular, has raised concerns in neighbouring countries about the activities of drug trafficking mafias as well as other forms of illegal…

Abyei conflict may trigger wider unrest in South Sudan

Location:

SOUTH SUDAN

Government attempts to stop the clashes have been ineffective, and both sides have used Nuer forces from elsewhere in South Sudan, risking a broadening conflict.

Mali's opposition will struggle to challenge the junta

Location:

MALI

Presidential elections were indefinitely postponed in September 2023. Prime Minister Choguel Maiga has stated that persistent insecurity means that elections are unrealistic…

Militia abuses may increase in Niger

Location:

NIGER

This has sparked the growth of ethnic Zarma self-defence militias, known locally as ‘zankai’. These militias reflect broader communal self-defence efforts, often arising because…

Philippine leader faces growing pushback from deputy

Location:

PHILIPPINES

This comes after months of acrimony between her and President Ferdinand ‘Bongbong’ Marcos. Duterte will remain vice president.

The situation in French New Caledonia remains febrile

Location:

FRANCE

However, the situation in the Indo-Pacific island remains febrile, with the local economy experiencing a major downturn and Azerbaijan continuing its efforts to fuel anti-French…