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F-16s will not solve Ukraine's problems immediately

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UKRAINE

Gaining access to US combat aircraft has been a long-standing goal for Kyiv. The decision to move forward with the transfer of the jets is a statement of strengthened US and…

French defence policy lacks strategic prioritisation

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FRANCE

The president's proposal to send troops to Ukraine has triggered debate on France's military readiness. Within Europe, it is a leading military power but chronic resource…

Ukraine's counter-offensive fails to break deadlock

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UKRAINE

Zaluzhny highlighted the problems faced by the Ukrainian military in this summer’s counter-offensive. Kyiv has so far not achieved any of its primary objectives, such as…

Maritime security risks may increase in the Gulf

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GULF STATES

The statement comes on the back of the United Arab Emirates (UAE) announcing on May 31 that it withdrew two months ago from the Combined Maritime Forces, a US-led maritime…

Ukraine war will shift Black Sea naval balance

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UKRAINE

The strike, followed by attacks against the BSF headquarters on September 22-23, seriously degraded Russian naval power to the advantage of Ukraine and NATO.

Israel’s AI sector will struggle amid Gaza conflict

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ISRAEL

It cited investor capital shortfalls amid the Gaza conflict, also highlighting another USD4mn allocated to early-stage Palestinian businesses. Israel’s government in December 2023…

Germany will struggle to meet its defence objectives

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GERMANY

The target will be met through the regular budget and the EUR100bn (USD104bn) special defence fund, which is due to be exhausted by the end of 2027. There is no cabinet consensus…

Hamas conflict will heighten vigilance in Seoul

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NORTH KOREA/SOUTH KOREA

These include border surveillance, human intelligence and Pyongyang-Hamas links. Joint live-fire exercises with US forces on October 25-27 were billed as targeting “large-scale…

China’s South-east Asian defence ties face constraints

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CHINA

South-east Asia is a key theatre in which Chinese-US strategic rivalry plays out. Beijing is counting on regional defence diplomacy to help it push back against the United States…

Prospects for Middle East conflict in 2024

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PROSPECTS 2024

Hamas and its allies hope to press Israel to turn back before then, but that is highly unlikely unless Washington changes tack or Israel suffers an internal political crisis. A…