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Ethiopia may fail to deliver on transitional justice

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ETHIOPIA

The policy includes some changes from the justice ministry’s initial draft, most significantly the removal of a proposal for a special court to prosecute the most serious crimes…

New Malian premier will keep up anti-French tone

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MALI

Choguel had antagonised France and authorised crackdowns on political opponents. Abdoulaye is close to the Malian military leadership and looks set to continue the junta’s core…

Militias could push the Syrian president towards Iran

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SYRIA

President Bashar al-Assad does not control most of the local and foreign militias that operate in his name in Syria. Some of those follow the policies of Iran’s Islamic Revolution…

Sudan’s new institutions will face multiple challenges

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SUDAN

The formation of a cabinet is the next step in the roadmap agreed under the August 17 power-sharing agreement between the Transitional Military Council (TMC) and protest leaders…

Sahel political instability can undercut terrorism ops

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SAHEL

The attacks come amid a wave of political instability across the Sahel, with two coups taking place in Mali within the past year, one in Chad and an aborted coup in Niger.

Political parties will struggle in Burkina Faso

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BURKINA FASO

The attack underscores the junta’s troubles in addressing a widespread insurgency, particularly in the north. However, the country’s political parties have struggled to capitalise…

Southern Yemen deal will require added Saudi pressure

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YEMEN

The government was ejected from the city in clashes with the separatist Southern Transitional Council (STC) in August. Earlier this month, the sides signed a Saudi-brokered peace…

Yemen war may see a lull, but peace prospects are poor

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YEMEN

This complicates direct talks that began recently between Saudi Arabia and the Huthis on a resolution to the wider conflict. Meanwhile, the first visible signs of progress in…

Prospects for the Russian economy to end-2022

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PROSPECTS H2 2022

Prospects for the Russian economy to end-2022.

Cambodia suppression may mask government infighting

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CAMBODIA

The US State Department responded by saying that the case against him was politically motivated and part of a broader trend of the government cracking down on dissent. Prime…