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Washington will prove a paper tiger on North Korea

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NORTH KOREA/US

Since its first nuclear test in 2006, North Korea has made steady progress in nuclear weapons technology. The July 4 ICBM test reflects its progress on delivery systems with…

Taiwan focus is on defence and third force politics

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TAIWAN

The arms will be taken directly from US stockpiles. China is the central factor in campaigning for Taiwan’s 2024 presidential elections. However, a strong showing by a third-party…

Iran can quickly hike oil exports as politics allow

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IRAN

Tehran’s more sophisticated sanctions avoidance tactics and greater willingness to test Washington’s enforcement have substantially boosted exports from 2019 lows. The slow…

China will use foreign aid for strategic aims

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CHINA

It consolidates and formalises a shift that has been underway, using examples of recent practice to present China’s new approach. The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) is presented…

Russia-China military ties will progress slowly

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RUSSIA/CHINA

Although Russia and China have been moving towards closer cooperation throughout the post-Soviet era, the trend accelerated after 2014. The China-Russia partnership raises the…

US government’s investment intervention will grow

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US/INT

Government intervention in foreign inward and outward investments and mergers.

Five-party Czech government must compromise on policy

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CZECH REPUBLIC

The five-party coalition enters office at a time of intense economic and social uncertainty resulting from the COVID-19 pandemic, rising debt and soaring energy prices. Prime…

China’s economic influence on Egypt grows

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EGYPT

The deal underscores the strength of bilateral relations. China is vital to Egypt's infrastructure-led development model, particularly around the Suez Canal zone. Beijing has…

EU-US cooperation in tech council likely to be limited

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EU/US

In their joint statement the two partners stressed their common interest in: ensuring that new technologies reflect and reinforce their democratic values; resisting unfair trading…

China will not rush Iran back to the nuclear deal

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IRAN/CHINA

Hopes of swift progress are low, as Iran has outlined a maximalist position including demands for impossible US guarantees that no future president will again renege on the Joint…