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21 – 30 of over 2000Cleomar Gomes da Silva and Fábio Augusto Reis Gomes
The purpose of this paper is to contribute to the teaching of undergraduate macroeconomics.
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to contribute to the teaching of undergraduate macroeconomics.
Design/methodology/approach
To suggest a roadmap, based on a consumption function, to be used by instructors willing to teach the Lucas Critique subject.
Findings
Therefore, this paper proposes a lesson, which consists of three parts, to help undergraduates better understand the subject: (1) a grading exercise to bring the topic closer to students’ lives; (2) a Keynesian and an optimal consumption function, followed by an example based on an unemployment insurance policy; and (3) two optional topics consisting of extensions of the optimal consumption function and some empirical results related to the Lucas Critique.
Originality/value
The Lucas Critique influenced the evolution of research in macroeconomics, but it is not easily grasped in a classroom.
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Tiziana Assenza, Te Bao, Cars Hommes and Domenico Massaro
Expectations play a crucial role in finance, macroeconomics, monetary economics, and fiscal policy. In the last decade a rapidly increasing number of laboratory experiments have…
Abstract
Expectations play a crucial role in finance, macroeconomics, monetary economics, and fiscal policy. In the last decade a rapidly increasing number of laboratory experiments have been performed to study individual expectation formation, the interactions of individual forecasting rules, and the aggregate macro behavior they co-create. The aim of this article is to provide a comprehensive literature survey on laboratory experiments on expectations in macroeconomics and finance. In particular, we discuss the extent to which expectations are rational or may be described by simple forecasting heuristics, at the individual as well as the aggregate level.
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Rizki E. Wimanda, Paul M. Turner and Maximilian J.B. Hall
The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the performance of six types of policy rules applied for Indonesia, using monthly data spanning January 1980 to December 2008.
Abstract
Purpose
The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the performance of six types of policy rules applied for Indonesia, using monthly data spanning January 1980 to December 2008.
Design/methodology/approach
This paper uses deterministic simulations on a small macro model and evaluates the policy rules based on the loss function.
Findings
Among six types of policy rules, an inflation forecast‐based rule with contemporaneous output gap (IFBG) is found to be the most efficient rule for Indonesia. The rule suggests that the central bank should react strongly to inflation deviations from the target, react moderately to the output gap and smooth the interest rate. The optimal horizon is 3‐4 quarters. Including the exchange rate in the policy rule causes deterioration in economic performance.
Originality/value
No previous study examines Indonesia employing the same methodology.
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Olufemi Gbenga Onatunji, Oluwayemisi Kadijat Adeleke and Akintoye Victor Adejumo
This study reinvestigates the validity of the Phillips curve in Nigeria for the period 1980–2020 by considering the asymmetric nexus between unemployment and inflation.
Abstract
Purpose
This study reinvestigates the validity of the Phillips curve in Nigeria for the period 1980–2020 by considering the asymmetric nexus between unemployment and inflation.
Design/methodology/approach
The nonlinear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) technique was used to decompose the unemployment variable into two components: tight and loosened labour markets.
Findings
The empirical outcome shows that unemployment has a significant negative effect on inflation when the labour market is tight and a weakly negative and significant effect on inflation when the labour market is loose. The study confirms an asymmetric Phillips curve in Nigeria since the positive (tight) unemployment rate exerts a greater effect on inflation than the negative (loosened) unemployment rate.
Practical implications
The findings of this study have important implications for implementing monetary policy in Nigeria.
Originality/value
To the best of the authors’ knowledge, this is the first study to investigate the existence of a nonlinear Phillip curve in Nigeria.
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A. Nazif Çatik, Christopher Martin and A. Özlem Onder
Using data from Turkey, this paper seeks to investigate whether relative price changes can help to explain the Phillips Curve relationship between inflation and output.
Abstract
Purpose
Using data from Turkey, this paper seeks to investigate whether relative price changes can help to explain the Phillips Curve relationship between inflation and output.
Design/methodology/approach
Building on work by Ball and Mankiw, the paper includes measures of the variance and skews of relative price adjustment in an otherwise standard model of the Phillips Curve. It employs a bounds‐testing approach based on an ARDL model to establish long‐run relationships. It then uses error correction models to analyze short‐run dynamics.
Findings
No evidence was found for a long‐run relationship between inflation and output. However, a long‐run relationship is in fact found, once the variance and skew of relative price changes are included as regressors. The error correction model implies plausible short‐term dynamics in this case.
Originality/value
This paper combines two distinct literatures, on the Phillips Curve and on the distribution of relative price changes, showing that insights from the latter can be essential in constructing coherent models of the Philips Curve.
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Marco Gallegati, James B. Ramsey, Mauro Gallegati and Willi Semmler
Conventional and alternative versions of the augmented Phillips curve are tested for Chile for the period 1974–1979. All regressors are significant. The alternative formulation…
Abstract
Conventional and alternative versions of the augmented Phillips curve are tested for Chile for the period 1974–1979. All regressors are significant. The alternative formulation and rationally formed expectations provide the best fit, with the minimum wage indexation and conventional curve results suggesting the presence of non‐wage inflationary pressures in addition to wage ones. Forecasting is made possible by deriving the relationship between real wages and the unemployment rate, and combinations of moderate‐to‐substantial real wage increases and unemployment reductions were feasible, over the medium term, under the policies and economic conditions prevailing up to mid‐1979.