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Article
Publication date: 1 March 2006

Marvin Baker Schaffer

The Second World War and the cold war led to a revolution in military affairs, but this article seeks to question whether the USA is equipped to respond to future

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763

Abstract

Purpose

The Second World War and the cold war led to a revolution in military affairs, but this article seeks to question whether the USA is equipped to respond to future conflicts in an age of global terrorism.

Design/methodology/approach

The article considers recent conflicts in Afghanistan and Iraq, as well as the tactics of terrorist groups, to explore how America's military forces should adapt to future needs, particularly in terms of technology and strategy.

Findings

The USA faces a military dilemma. The force numbers and the technology mix needed to cope with terrorist and insurgency warfare are currently insufficient. However, the overall US budget is too high, and defense expenditures are one of the principal causes.

Originality/value

Contributes to the debate on countering global terrorism.

Details

Foresight, vol. 8 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1463-6689

Keywords

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Article
Publication date: 11 April 2008

Marvin Baker Schaffer and Leslie Schaffer Belay

The purpose of this paper is to postulate a political structure for Israel and a Palestinian State 25‐50 years from now.

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to postulate a political structure for Israel and a Palestinian State 25‐50 years from now.

Design/methodology/approach

The paper speculates that a Middle East Union modeled after the EU could enable stability and prosperity on a scale not now envisioned.

Findings

The paper speculates that oil will no longer be the global fuel of choice in 50 years. It is also speculated that long‐ and short‐range missile defenses will be reliable unlike today's systems. These will create new opportunities for successful collaboration in the Middle East.

Originality/value

The paper speculates that transportation, water, and power will be the key new elements of infrastructure needed to facilitate a Middle East Union. Nuclear desalination is postulated for the water and power and a light rail system connecting 15 cities in the Palestinian areas will be required.

Details

Foresight, vol. 10 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1463-6689

Keywords

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Article
Publication date: 1 June 1999

Marvin Baker Schaffer and Mario L. Juncosa

This analysis develops and predicts a politically controversial idea, namely that nuclear fission power will be the dominant energy resource of the 21st century. Abundant…

Abstract

This analysis develops and predicts a politically controversial idea, namely that nuclear fission power will be the dominant energy resource of the 21st century. Abundant energy enables higher and more efficient utilization of resources. Energy drives the engines of industrial and food production, transportation, building construction, space heating, transformation of landscapes, recreation, etc. This article compares other energy alternatives with the potential of nuclear fission power. It predicts that several hundred nuclear plants, each nominally of 10 gigawatts capacity, could supply the world’s energy requirements without creation of polluting greenhouse gases. Moreover, the superabundance of power this would represent could feed the world, supply its drinking water, and raise the per capita income and standard of living to levels where total human population would level off at an acceptable number. However, realization of such benefits requires unprecedented world cooperation, and these issues are also treated in this article.

Details

Foresight, vol. 1 no. 3
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1463-6689

Keywords

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Article
Publication date: 27 February 2007

Marvin Baker Schaffer

The objective of this article is to propose the use of nuclear power to provide electricity and wide‐scale desalination to meet future population growth in Israel and a

Abstract

Purpose

The objective of this article is to propose the use of nuclear power to provide electricity and wide‐scale desalination to meet future population growth in Israel and a Palestinian State.

Design/methodology/approach

The extent of future water and power shortages in Israel and a Palestinian States expounded in the article and various methods for alleviating these shortages are explored. Comparisons are made with historical approaches.

Findings

Nuclear pebble‐bed technology is found to be the most cost‐effective way to energize future water and power needs. It is safe, non‐polluting, and terrorist resistant.

Originality/value

This article makes the case that abundant water and power in the Middle East is both a pre‐requisite and a stimulant for peace in the region.

Details

Foresight, vol. 9 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1463-6689

Keywords

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Article
Publication date: 29 August 2008

Marvin Baker Schaffer

Russian dominance of the Eurasian natural gas delivery system has put the independence of the EU's foreign policy at risk. Although Europe is struggling to counteract the

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2118

Abstract

Purpose

Russian dominance of the Eurasian natural gas delivery system has put the independence of the EU's foreign policy at risk. Although Europe is struggling to counteract the threat, Russia appears to be winning the game. This paper aims to recommend significant measures to reverse the trend.

Design/methodology/approach

This is a discussion paper exploring the issues involved.

Findings

Russia's stranglehold already has acquired 25 percent of the European market. Moreover, it is installing four new pipelines, and plans to increase its market share substantially. In response, Europe is building or planning three new pipelines. The author recommends additionally: strategic gas reserves, anti‐trust prosecution, financial and political inducements, and offering WTO membership to Russia in exchange for concessions.

Practical implications

Europe can win the great natural gas pipeline game if it is played with commitment. Europe must focus on the big prize, natural gas independence.

Originality/value

This original research viewpoint contains suggestions for the EU and Europe to increase their energy security.

Details

Foresight, vol. 10 no. 5
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1463-6689

Keywords

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Article
Publication date: 23 October 2007

Marvin Baker Schaffer

The purpose of this paper is to review technologies for nuclear power and to assess their suitability in pursuit of clean, safe and secure energy independence.

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2549

Abstract

Purpose

The purpose of this paper is to review technologies for nuclear power and to assess their suitability in pursuit of clean, safe and secure energy independence.

Design/methodology/approach

Technologies and potentials associated with the industry standard, light water reactors (LWR), as well as fast breeder reactors and TRISO‐fueled reactors, are reviewed. The key features and issues include: waste disposal and toxicity, heat pollution, vulnerability to terrorist attack, proliferation of weapon materials, global fuel depletion, safety, and cost.

Findings

The paper finds that, on balance, TRISO‐fueled reactors with helium as coolant offer solutions to the issues causing public nuclear concerns, and since they have significant cost benefits they should be the design of choice for new installations.

Originality/value

Nuclear power can make a contribution to rising energy demands but raise many concerns. This paper considers the principal types of nuclear reactors and analyzes them for their potential to address those important public concerns.

Details

Foresight, vol. 9 no. 6
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1463-6689

Keywords

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Article
Publication date: 1 April 2005

Marvin Baker Schaffer

The article aims to explore the potential for pebble‐bed high‐temperature gas reactor (HTGR) technology to meet possible future energy shortages.

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2647

Abstract

Purpose

The article aims to explore the potential for pebble‐bed high‐temperature gas reactor (HTGR) technology to meet possible future energy shortages.

Design/methodology/approach

The historical evolution of nuclear power is reviewed followed by empirical data that demonstrate the finite nature of oil and gas reserves. The characteristics of HTGR technology are then explored.

Findings

A pebble‐bed HTGR ameliorates nuclear waste disposal issues, does not disgorge large quantities of excess heat, is terrorist‐resistant, solves persistent problems concerning weapon proliferation, and is inherently safe.

Originality/value

The article makes the case for the US Department of Energy to take the lead in demonstrating a pebble‐bed HTGR plant to overcome industry reluctance to invest in this technology.

Details

Foresight, vol. 7 no. 2
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1463-6689

Keywords

Content available
Article
Publication date: 1 November 2006

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236

Abstract

Details

Foresight, vol. 8 no. 6
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1463-6689

Keywords

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Book part
Publication date: 1 January 2005

Naresh K. Malhotra

Abstract

Details

Review of Marketing Research
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-0-85724-723-0

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