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Germany’s CDU will shift further to the right

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GERMANY

After months of internal division, the CDU’s senior figures united behind leader Friedrich Merz, elected a new executive and adopted a new programme that marks a reversion to…

Trump AI policy would prioritise US-China competition

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US

Congressional gridlock has hitherto left the White House leading on US AI policy. On the campaign trail for November’s presidential election, the prospective Republican nominee…

US Africa policy will be largely on hold this year

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UNITED STATES

Despite promises that Biden would visit Africa during 2023, he did not do so. The situation in Ukraine and then Gaza has left little space for development of Washington’s policy…

China’s economic model will evolve

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CHINA

President Xi Jinping first used the concept on an inspection visit in Heilongjiang province in September 2023. The NPF concept recognises that China's existing growth model cannot…

Jordan’s foreign policy will echo domestic Gaza risk

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JORDAN

The Israel-Hamas conflict looms large in Jordanian public opinion, presenting possible domestic challenges to the government. It also places pressure on core foreign policy…

Global AI regulations will diverge

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INT

Despite a strong Chinese push on AI innovation, Beijing’s regulatory approach to AI sharply contrasts with the approaches of Western digital economies, notably the United States…

Lack of CBN reform may fuel more corruption in Nigeria

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NIGERIA

Cardoso has promised to prosecute any entities involved in making fraudulent claims. The Deloitte audit is one of three concurrent investigations into the bank’s management under…

Czech-Slovak rift may limit Visegrad effectiveness

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CZECH/SLOVAKIA

The unprecedented move is the first rift since the two countries peacefully parted more than three decades ago. It came soon after the Visegrad Four (V4) of Czechia, Hungary…

Tehran will prioritise conservative consolidation

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IRAN

Many centrist and reformist candidates have been disqualified or declined to stand. This, together with the poor state of the economy and resentment over money spent abroad on…

Bosnian Serbs are unlikely to seek independence yet

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BOSNIA-HERCEGOVINA

The move followed changes to the Bosnia-Hercegovina (BiH) election law, aimed at enhancing electoral transparency, imposed by High Representative Christian Schmidt. RS President…