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Book part
Publication date: 26 November 2019

Anindita Sengupta

Financial liberalization is assumed to be the integration of a country's local financial system with international financial markets and institutions. This integration usually…

Abstract

Financial liberalization is assumed to be the integration of a country's local financial system with international financial markets and institutions. This integration usually requires that governments liberalize the domestic financial sector and the capital account. Financial sectors were liberalized in most of the developing countries in Asia, Africa, and Latin America within the early 1990s. Among these countries, emerging economies are those who promise huge potential for growth but also pose significant political, monetary, and social risks. Brazil and India are often compared among the major emerging economies. Despite these general similarities between them, there are notable differences in various aspects of opening the balance of payments capital account in both countries. In this chapter, we have tried to analyze the long-run as well as short-run relationship between quarterly growth rate of GDP with the stock market, real market, and money market macroeconomic variables in India and Brazil during the period from the first quarter of 1996–1997 to the second quarter of 2018–2019. To estimate the cointegration relationship between growth rate of GDP and its determinants, we employ the bounds testing procedure (modified-ARDL) developed by Pesaran, Shin, and Smith (2001, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326). According to our results, stock market plays a positive role in long-term growth in India. Although during the beginning period of the neoliberal reforms, India faced strong domestic political opposition, our study shows that liberalizing the financial market has been fruitful for long-term growth. Our results in case of Brazil show that inflation has a negative and significant impact on long-run growth rate of GDP. The results further show that the share of gross fixed capital formation in GDP in Brazil has a positive and significant long-run relation with the growth rate of GDP. The empirical results further indicate that just like India, liberalization of the financial market and allowing foreign capital inflows have been beneficial for the economy of Brazil in the long run.

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The Gains and Pains of Financial Integration and Trade Liberalization
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-83867-004-7

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Explaining Growth in the Middle East
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-0-44452-240-5

Book part
Publication date: 11 August 2016

Ping-fu (Brian) Lai and Wai Lun (Patrick) Cheung

This chapter introduces demographic variables in empirical regression to help find whether demographic changes have an impact on economic growth. There is evidence from estimated…

Abstract

This chapter introduces demographic variables in empirical regression to help find whether demographic changes have an impact on economic growth. There is evidence from estimated values in this chapter to suggest that there is no impact that demographic changes in Hong Kong is affecting the economic growth. The population growth has purely a transition impact where the fertility rate was low in early 2000 up to 2015 as the size of the dependency ratio increases. Besides testing demographic variables the government emphasises better education for all people of ages for prosperous growth but in fact has a negative response on educational investment on the growth of the economy. A well-educated country individual does not suggest a higher productivity in economy growth. An important implication is that there has been no single variable as yet that has seriously impacted the economy growth, but there will be changes in the coming years and has to be attended in result to avoid a diminishing economy.

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The Spread of Financial Sophistication through Emerging Markets Worldwide
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-78635-155-5

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An Input-output Analysis of European Integration
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-0-44451-088-4

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Dynamic General Equilibrium Modelling for Forecasting and Policy: A Practical Guide and Documentation of MONASH
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-0-44451-260-4

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The Current Global Recession
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-78635-157-9

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Taxing the Hard-to-tax: Lessons from Theory and Practice
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-84950-828-5

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Modelling the Riskiness in Country Risk Ratings
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-0-44451-837-8

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Explaining Growth in the Middle East
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-0-44452-240-5

Book part
Publication date: 19 March 2018

Lentina Simbolon and Purwanto

This research essentially aims to examine the extent to which macroeconomic factors (including interest rate, inflation rate, exchange rate, and GDP growth rate) have a positive…

Abstract

This research essentially aims to examine the extent to which macroeconomic factors (including interest rate, inflation rate, exchange rate, and GDP growth rate) have a positive influence on stock price and the level of significance for that influence. The researchers focused more on real estate and property companies that are listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange, with consideration for the stock price of real estate and property companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) as the most volatile stock during those years (and its market capitalization was the largest during 2012). This study finds that interest rate, inflation rate, exchange rate, and GDP growth rate, as composite variables, have a significant influence on stock price. A partial test revealed that interest rate, inflation rate, and exchange rate have significance on stock price, while GDP growth rate is found to be nonsignificant.

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Global Tensions in Financial Markets
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-78714-839-0

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