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South Korean politics will be less certain

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SOUTH KOREA

Meanwhile, the leader of the opposition and a ruling party lawmaker have been hospitalised after serious assaults (in the former case, politically motivated). There are also…

Sri Lanka's 'balancing act' on reform faces new risks

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SRI LANKA

Prospects for Sri Lanka in 2016.

Guinea-Bissau’s Embalo will seek to centralise power

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GUINEA-BISSAU

The end to the UN peace operation came almost three months after the departure of the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) Mission in Guinea Bissau (ECOMIB). The…

Senegalese opposition gains will be fragile

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SENEGAL

Opposition victories in those cities came despite legal imbroglios involving key opposition figures, which some critics of President Macky Sall saw as attempts to skew the…

France’s Macron faces major test to bolster his appeal

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FRANCE

Yet Macron’s chronically poor approval ratings have been accompanied in the last year by a series of sustained societal protests, political missteps and growing disaffection…

Netanyahu win puts Israel on path to isolation

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ISRAEL

The election, Israel's fourth in less than ten years, was a referendum on Netanyahu, who had faced unprecedented public criticism leading up to the election. However, with a high…

Reform UK could impact next election outcome

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UNITED KINGDOM

As Reform is polling nationally at 13% and has performed strongly in recent by-elections, the defection is a blow to the Conservatives' chances of retaining voters in former…

Nigeria’s Saraki may grow in influence

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NIGERIA

Senate President Bukola Saraki, an ethnic Yoruba from north-central Nigeria, is believed to be a key member of the new grouping. Saraki occupies the third most powerful position…

Malawian political instability could worsen

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MALAWI

Chilima recently split from the ruling Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) after a raft of government corruption scandals. The failure of the UTM to register could heighten…

Tshisekedi's gambit may fail to upend Congo's politics

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CONGO-KINSHASA

Although he has not formally ended the coalition government between his Camp for Change (CACH) and former President Joseph Kabila’s Common Front for the Congo (FCC), the…