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ISG losses in Iraq, Syria will undermine ideology

Location:

MIDDLE EAST

However, it has departed from other jihadist groups by developing an 'end-of-days' narrative centered on Syria, and by declaring a caliphate. As well as lending an air of…

France will pursue a balancing strategy towards China

Location:

FRANCE

President Emmanuel Macron wants to maintain dialogue with President Xi Jinping as well as boost trade relations between the two countries. When it comes to defence and security…

The next Omani sultan will face an economic crisis

Location:

OMAN

The ratings agency said the change reflected the erosion of Oman’s foreign reserves in a context of low oil prices. Fears are rising over the country's longer-term economic…

Algeria may struggle to expand influence in the Sahel

Location:

SAHEL

Tebboune argues that Mali's money would be better spent on economic development and initiatives to integrate northern Malians better into state institutions. Algeria is concerned…

Moldova's separatist region in no rush for conflict

Location:

MOLDOVA

The war in Ukraine has increased concerns about Moscow's intentions towards the separatist region of Transnistria, perhaps an overland offensive if Odessa is captured. Despite…

Mauritania’s Gulf ties will survive local rebalancing

Location:

MAURITANIA

Outlook for Mauritania's ties with the UAE and Saudi Arabia.

Somali counter-insurgency will require political unity

Location:

SOMALIA

The raid is part of a major offensive launched by Somali and international forces in response to the October 14 attacks in Mogadishu, which killed over 350 people and injured over…

Baghdad will struggle to manage its own borders

Location:

IRAQ

So far, results have been mixed. There have been some positive outcomes in terms of increased customs payments and improved security. However, control of key border crossings…

United Arab Emirates military will use proxy warfare

Location:

UNITED ARAB EMIRATES

The UAE military is deeply concerned about both direct and indirect threats from Iran and from Sunni political Islam. It has therefore focused on building alliances with global…

Hungary's trying to revive Western ties may fall short

Location:

HUNGARY

Budapest's balancing between traditional and non-traditional ties.