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Book part
Publication date: 13 January 2020

Sam Hillyard

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Broadlands and the New Rurality
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-83909-581-8

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Book part
Publication date: 7 July 2017

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Knowledge Transfer to and within Tourism
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-78714-405-7

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Book part
Publication date: 27 November 2020

Arthur Seakhoa-King, Marcjanna M Augustyn and Peter Mason

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Tourism Destination Quality
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-83909-558-0

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Book part
Publication date: 19 November 2020

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The Impact of Global Drug Policy on Women: Shifting the Needle
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-83982-885-0

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Book part
Publication date: 21 July 2022

Ian Ruthven

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Dealing With Change Through Information Sculpting
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-80382-047-7

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Book part
Publication date: 5 September 2019

Kylie Baldwin

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Egg Freezing, Fertility and Reproductive Choice
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-78756-483-1

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Book part
Publication date: 23 June 2020

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Civil Society and Social Responsibility in Higher Education: International Perspectives on Curriculum and Teaching Development
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-83909-464-4

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Book part
Publication date: 18 January 2022

Kajal Lahiri, Huaming Peng and Xuguang Simon Sheng

From the standpoint of a policy maker who has access to a number of expert forecasts, the uncertainty of a combined or ensemble forecast should be interpreted as that of a typical…

Abstract

From the standpoint of a policy maker who has access to a number of expert forecasts, the uncertainty of a combined or ensemble forecast should be interpreted as that of a typical forecaster randomly drawn from the pool. This uncertainty formula should incorporate forecaster discord, as justified by (i) disagreement as a component of combined forecast uncertainty, (ii) the model averaging literature, and (iii) central banks’ communication of uncertainty via fan charts. Using new statistics to test for the homogeneity of idiosyncratic errors under the joint limits with both T and n approaching infinity simultaneously, the authors find that some previously used measures can significantly underestimate the conceptually correct benchmark forecast uncertainty.

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Essays in Honor of M. Hashem Pesaran: Prediction and Macro Modeling
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-80262-062-7

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Book part
Publication date: 14 May 2013

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Advances in Positive Organizational Psychology
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-78052-000-1

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Book part
Publication date: 29 March 2022

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Gender, Criminalization, Imprisonment and Human Rights in Southeast Asia
Type: Book
ISBN: 978-1-80117-287-5

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