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Engaging with Afghanistan will get harder for West

Location:

AFGHANISTAN

This was a reference to criticism of Taliban rule by certain international players. While engagement between the emirate and the West remains limited, the Taliban are drawing…

Israel’s new unity will depend on the Gaza war

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ISRAEL

Israeli society has been transfixed by the psychological impact of the daily hostage releases since November 24, heavily engaging with each family and fearing for those excluded…

Afghan drug ban may be close to unravelling

Location:

AFGHANISTAN

Local villagers were ignoring the ban on the production, use and trafficking of drugs, announced by Taliban supreme leader Haibatullah Akhundzada in April 2022. The Taliban…

Threats of instability in Libya abound in 2024

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LIBYA

While a 2020 ceasefire still holds, in the absence of new elections, the political landscape is significantly undermined by institutional rivalry. The country's fragmentation…

Afghan Taliban will look past UN in seeking engagement

Location:

AFGHANISTAN

The Taliban were invited but refused to attend. There was no decision on appointing a UN special envoy for Afghanistan as mandated recently, although UN Secretary-General Antonio…

Foreign policy has a major role in Trump's campaigning

Location:

US

As the leading candidate for the Republican presidential nomination, Trump will increasingly shape partisan resistance to President Joe Biden’s foreign policy agenda for 2024.

US allies will worry about Trump's Asia policies

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UNITED STATES

Democrats and Republicans largely share the assessment that China poses the greatest challenge to US interests globally. The Biden administration retained Trump’s strong tariff…

The Huthis will grow more emboldened within Yemen

Location:

YEMEN

These shifts were already underway before the airstrikes began in November 2023. Notably, factions within the Islamist Islah political party have publicly and privately expressed…

JNIM may expand in Burkina Faso's Centre-East region

Location:

BURKINA FASO

This occurs as the jihadist insurgency in Burkina Faso has escalated significantly. Government recruitment of communal militias in late 2022 has led to ethnic cleansing in some…

Israel-Hamas-Hezbollah manoeuvring endangers Lebanon

Location:

PALESTINIANS/ISRAEL/LEBANON

The killing of Hamas leaders abroad follows existing Israeli policy. However, the greater significance stems from the challenge presented to the wider Iranian ‘Axis of…