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Ethiopia’s widening conflict will extend uncertainty

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ETHIOPIA

In response, federal-aligned authorities have started mobilising regional militias and even armed civilians to bolster their regular forces. Both have raised fears of an…

Prospects for the Western Balkans in 2023

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PROSPECTS 2023

Prospects for the Western Balkans in 2023.

Ethiopia’s peace process shows signs of promise

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ETHIOPIA

The announcement came amid unconfirmed reports that the federal government and Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) have agreed to meet for peace talks in Arusha, Tanzania.

Engaging with Afghanistan will get harder for West

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AFGHANISTAN

This was a reference to criticism of Taliban rule by certain international players. While engagement between the emirate and the West remains limited, the Taliban are drawing…

IMF unlikely to resolve Zambia's debt conundrum

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ZAMBIA

While the G20's new Common Framework for Debt Treatments provides a new mechanism for debt restructuring, it also requires Zambia to convince the IMF that it has disclosed all of…

Cambodia opposition protests face tough response

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CAMBODIA

Prime Minister Hun Sen says he is prepared to talk to the opposition, but that this must be in the National Assembly.

Ethiopia’s first step towards peace faces major risks

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ETHIOPIA

The Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) responded by indicating that they would respect a ceasefire if aid does indeed begin to flow. The truce has potential to bring relief…

Idlib will weaken but not break Turkish-Russian ties

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TURKEY

Tensions have risen since Syrian government shelling killed seven Turkish soldiers and a civilian contractor in north-western Syria on February 3. Although President Recep Tayyip…

Myanmar conflict will be protracted

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MYANMAR

Attacks by anti-junta People's Defence Forces (PDFs), which operate largely autonomously from each other, are taking an increasing toll on the army. Western powers are ramping up…

Ethiopian conflict may intensify rather than ease

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ETHIOPIA

Although Demeke also referenced the possibility of resolving Ethiopia’s conflicts through a national dialogue, the government’s wider rhetoric and military build-up instead signal…