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Prospects for improved Algerian-Moroccan ties are low

Location:

ALGERIA/MOROCCO

The Israel-Hamas conflict has added to tensions between Algiers and Rabat over Western Sahara and their military build-ups, following Algiers' decision to break diplomatic…

Moroccan ‘wins’ over Western Sahara come with risks

Location:

MOROCCO/WESTERN SAHARA

President Donald Trump announced on December 10 that Washington would recognise Rabat’s claims over Western Sahara (the UN considers it a non-self-governing territory) in exchange…

Eventual Ukrainian offensive will involve more forces

Location:

UKRAINE

These are the first offensive operations using Western equipment and benefitting from NATO countries’ training in their use, and confirm Kyiv’s commitment to counter-offensive…

Engaging with Afghanistan will get harder for West

Location:

AFGHANISTAN

This was a reference to criticism of Taliban rule by certain international players. While engagement between the emirate and the West remains limited, the Taliban are drawing…

Ukraine war hurts Russian interests in South-east Asia

Location:

SOUTH-EAST ASIA

Russia has in recent years sought to increase its economic engagement with South-east Asia to circumvent Western sanctions and mitigate the risk of overdependence on China. Moscow…

Yemen peace talks will gather momentum

Location:

YEMEN

Their resumption follows President Abd Rabbu Mansour Hadi's decision to suspend his government's participation in protest at the Huthi forces' seizure of a military base north of…

Foreign actors will likely avoid intervention in Libya

Location:

LIBYA

LIBYA: Foreign actors will likely avoid intervention

New Cyprus president will pursue pro-Western policy

Location:

CYPRUS

Christodoulides is taking charge at a time of high political volatility. Though he is from the ruling Democratic Rally (DISY), he was not DISY's candidate, won with the support of…

New Libya government will reconfigure landscape again

Location:

LIBYA

The GNU has a limited mandate of ten months before it oversees elections on December 24. It will first need to organise a referendum on the controversial constitution draft of…

Myanmar conflict will be protracted

Location:

MYANMAR

Attacks by anti-junta People's Defence Forces (PDFs), which operate largely autonomously from each other, are taking an increasing toll on the army. Western powers are ramping up…