New Libya government will reconfigure landscape again

Significance

The GNU has a limited mandate of ten months before it oversees elections on December 24. It will first need to organise a referendum on the controversial constitution draft of 2017, in a country awash with armed factions and entrenched interests.

Impacts

• Different factions across the country will seek to align with the GNU to strengthen their respective political and military coalitions.
• The GNU will struggle to secure approval from the divided parliament, further undermining its legitimacy.
• Foreign powers can leverage the new government’s need to co-opt groups to increase their influence over the executive.