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Seoul-Havana relations will hurt Pyongyang

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SOUTH KOREA/CUBA

South Korea’s business ties with Cuba have improved in recent decades, while Havana-Pyongyang relations have long been uneasy. Cuba’s decision came amid North Korea’s increasingly…

US election raises doubts over Japan-US alliance

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JAPAN

The implications for Japan of the US presidential election.

Prospects for US politics in 2021

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PROSPECTS 2021

At home, his administration will focus on economic revival and reform, and on COVID-19 public health measures. In foreign affairs, Biden’s team will focus on rebuilding US…

Prospects for North Korea in 2018

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PROSPECTS 2018

Prospects for North Korea in 2018.

Pyongyang’s Beijing and Moscow ties will be complex

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NORTH KOREA/CHINA/RUSSIA

The PoE has since 2009 reported regularly on North Korea’s violations of UN Security Council (UNSC) sanctions. Beijing and Moscow are resisting an ineffective UN sanctions…

Policy gaps will frustrate China-US ties under Trump

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CHINA/US

No joint statement was issued by the two leaders, although the US Secretaries of State, Commerce and Treasury provided commentary on the talks. Both US and Chinese expectations…

Prospects for East Asia in the fourth quarter

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PROSPECTS Q4 2015

Prospects for East Asia in the fourth quarter of 2015.

Biden will face major US overseas policy challenges

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UNITED STATES

Biden will have to address immediate major foreign policy challenges: stabilising relations with adversaries (Iran, Russia and China), renewing ties with allies, and returning the…

US Congress will take policy lead in 2018

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UNITED STATES

Media coverage often focuses on the speech's tone and its implications for the president’s popularity, but presidents since the 1970s have seen no change in approval rating after…

Russia will defer to China's policy on North Korea

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RUSSIA/NORTH KOREA

While Russia worries about the risk of instability triggered by a strict sanctions regime, its role in the North Korea crisis is limited to supporting China's calls for restraint…