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Conservative factionalism will shape Iran’s policies

Location:

IRAN

The new conservative president is walking a fine balance between hard-line conservative demands and pragmatic compromises as regards negotiations on a revival of the 2015…

South African government faces public-sector showdown

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SOUTH AFRICA

The negotiations follow the government’s refusal last year to pay the final annual tranche of a previous three-year deal. Containing the public-sector wage bill is seen as key for…

Russia will exploit Macedonian name row in Balkans

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BALKANS

It will change if 50%+1 of the electorate participate and 50%+1 of them approve. The government’s greatest hope for winning the referendum may be to provoke the Internal…

Anger at EU North Macedonia deal may unseat government

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BULGARIA/NORTH MACEDONIA

North Macedonia’s government and EU member states have welcomed a framework proposed in the final days of France’s EU Council presidency for opening EU accession talks with…

Election outlook becomes more uncertain in Venezuela

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VENEZUELA

The ruling United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV) is confident it can demonstrate activities justifying her exclusion from public life. It does not see the ruling as violating…

Japan is likely to win Australian submarine tender

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AUSTRALIA

The Soryu class is currently under consideration by Canberra as a replacement to the RAN's aging fleet of Collins-class submarines, in light of intensifying security challenges in…

Tinubu’s ambitions could tear Nigeria’s APC apart

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NIGERIA

Tinubu is a founder of the APC and a key power-broker in the party and the south-west more broadly. Although Tinubu is one of Nigeria's most influential political figures, his…

Prospects for South Africa in 2020

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PROSPECTS 2020

Prospects for South Africa in 2020.

New Cyprus president will pursue pro-Western policy

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CYPRUS

Christodoulides is taking charge at a time of high political volatility. Though he is from the ruling Democratic Rally (DISY), he was not DISY's candidate, won with the support of…

Second COVID-19 wave will test Madagascar’s Rajoelina

Location:

MADAGASCAR

However, with a second wave underway and the mining and tourism sectors -- key foreign exchange earners -- upended, he recently changed tack, authorising an immunisation programme…