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Syriza is likely to win autumn elections in Greece

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GREECE

The reforms will allow the release of fresh funding for banks and a bridging loan to meet debt obligations to the IMF and ECB. A quarter of Syriza deputies rebelled, but…

Second Spanish election may not end political deadlock

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SPAIN

Polls suggest that, although there may be some changes in party performance from the general election in December 2015, it is likely that again no party will win a majority and a…

Spain’s Socialists will struggle to revive stability

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SPAIN

Spain outlook.

Georgian election win shapes politics of 2020 polls

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GEORGIA

Claims of irregularities tarnished the second-round election won on November 28 by Salome Zurabishvili, backed by the ruling Georgian Dream-Democratic Georgia (GDDG) party. Ahead…

US case against Turkish bank complicates ties further

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TURKEY

The state-owned bank has been indicted in New York for its role in helping Tehran evade US sanctions. Ankara alleges that the charges are politically motivated and has looked to…

Prospects for euro-area to end-2020

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PROSPECTS H2 2020

Prospects for euro-area to end-2020.

The new Zambian president faces long-term challenges

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ZAMBIA

Hichilema's surprise win came despite extensive voter suppression and intimidation attributed to former President Edgar Lungu and the ruling Patriotic Front (PF) against…

Instability will rise ahead of Argentine elections

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ARGENTINA

Apart from mounting frustration and economic pain, there is a marked shift in public opinion away from Vice-President Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner (CFK). Much remains unclear…

Honeymoon period of Panama’s Mulino will be brief

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PANAMA

Mulino assumed the candidacy late in the race, after former President Ricardo Martinelli (2009-14) was disqualified over a corruption conviction. The new president will face…

'Mercenary' arrests derail Belarus-Russia ties again

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BELARUS/RUSSIA

In recent months, Lukashenka has repeatedly argued that Moscow is working to unseat him at the August 9 polls. A trade and debt deal last month made progress on important energy…