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Rising risks may threaten China’s steady GDP slowdown

Location:

CHINA

China growth outlook.

Italy’s growth outlook will be subdued without reforms

Location:

ITALY

Italy’s national accounts confirmed that the economy grew by 0.4% quarter-on-quarter for a third quarter in April-June, driven by services and a 0.6% increase in industrial…

UK economy faces a shallow yet prolonged downturn

Location:

UNITED KINGDOM

The IMF forecast assumes UK interest rates peak at 6.0% (from 5.25% currently), and linger at 4.0-4.25% through to 2028. The IMF’s forecasts are similar to those of the Bank of…

French growth will be weak over the coming quarters

Location:

FRANCE

France’s economy has performed better than its peers this year, due to weaker inflationary pressures and strong export performance in the second quarter. However, the latest…

Prospects for the euro-area to end-2023

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2023

Tourism and other customer-facing sectors are growing solidly even though above-target inflation is squeezing disposable incomes. However, strong services activity is keeping core…

High employment and low wages will curb Russian growth

Location:

RUSSIA

In defiance of expectations following the imposition of severe sanctions, the unemployment rate has hovered around 3.2%. Yet rather than a sign of resilience, low unemployment…

Prospects for the global economy in H2 2023

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2023

Labour and housing markets are slowing very gradually, but the strength of services is preventing a faster fall in headline inflation. The pass-through effects of interest-rate…

Emerging Asia activity will slow despite China rebound

Location:

INTERNATIONAL

ASEAN's growth is nevertheless expected to outpace global growth, of which China and India are expected to contribute more than 50% -- India about 15% and China around 35%.

Prospects for the US economy to end-2019

Location:

PROSPECTS H2 2019

Prospects for the US economy to end 2019.

Swiss economic growth will accelerate in 2018

Location:

SWITZERLAND

Economic outlook for Switzerland.