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Opposition will find it hard to engage Polish voters

Location:

POLAND

The vote is to take place in autumn. Bitter disputes within both the opposition and the ruling coalition have set up divisions that make the results uncertain.

IMF unlikely to resolve Zambia's debt conundrum

Location:

ZAMBIA

While the G20's new Common Framework for Debt Treatments provides a new mechanism for debt restructuring, it also requires Zambia to convince the IMF that it has disclosed all of…

Angola's renewed China dependence will bring more pain

Location:

ANGOLA

However, China’s insistence on negotiating debt relief bilaterally and on a loan-by-loan basis will delay efforts to reschedule borrowing, jeopardising Angola’s debt…

Soft landing has become more likely in Central Europe

Location:

EU

The NBP’s March Inflation Report lowers its forecast for average CPI significantly to 1.7%, from 3.2% in its November forecast; GDP is to grow by 4.0% (November: 3.6%). Outside…

New Zealand’s Ardern will pursue more centrist agenda

Location:

NEW ZEALAND

Unlike in Labour’s first term, the party now no longer needs the support of minor parties to govern. Its 49% win is extraordinary given the mixed-member proportional electoral…

Sri Lanka’s economic crisis is far from resolution

Location:

SRI LANKA

Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe, only appointed in May, has also said he will quit. Wickremesinghe has played a key role in talks with the IMF over a desperately needed…

New Zealand’s election looms as COVID-19 recedes

Location:

NEW ZEALAND

The economy is recovering fast, while it has been weeks since a case of COVID-19 was acquired within New Zealand from an unknown source. The country’s challenge now is determining…